La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Hawks v Washington Wizards

Inicio: 2026-02-25 00:42 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Hawks (Local)

Predicción 83.11%1.20momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -10.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.82%82.77%83.35%85.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.151.151.1890.09%87.07%86.96%84.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Washington Wizards (Visitante)

Predicción 16.89%5.92momio equitativo
EV +8.11%
Ventaja +1.27%
Kelly +1.50%
Crecimiento +0.122%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.89%17.23%16.65%20.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.555.585.606.4021.98%17.92%17.86%15.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.92%E -6.18%K -57.65%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +8.11%E +1.27%K +1.50%G +0.122%4.9%2026-02-25 00:39
1xBet1.17I 85.47%NM 83.99%EV -2.76%E -2.36%K -16.25%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 16.01%EV +3.71%E +0.605%K +0.722%G +0.027%1.8%2026-02-25 00:20
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV +3.04%E +0.498%K +0.596%G +0.018%4.1%2026-02-25 00:29
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.92%E -6.18%K -57.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +1.35%E +0.225%K +0.270%G +0.004%6.0%2026-02-24 21:09
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.92%E -6.18%K -57.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +1.35%E +0.225%K +0.270%G +0.004%6.0%2026-02-25 00:30
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -0.340%E -0.058%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 00:30
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -0.340%E -0.058%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 22:53
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 83.55%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.45%EV -0.509%E -0.086%K -0.104%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-25 00:35
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 83.50%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.50%EV -0.847%E -0.144%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-25 00:15
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.71%E -0.470%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 00:09
MyBookie.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.48%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.52%EV -2.71%E -0.470%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 23:09
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-24 23:15
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-24 23:14
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-24 23:14
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-24 23:14
GTbets1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 22:54
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 22:54
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 23:24
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 21:05
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 00:40
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 21:34
888sport1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.09%E -5.39%K -46.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 21:34
888sport (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.09%E -5.39%K -46.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 21:34
Mr Green (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.09%E -5.39%K -46.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 21:34
Dabble (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.09%E -5.39%K -46.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 00:35
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.09%E -5.39%K -46.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 00:30
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.72%E -0.652%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-24 21:39
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.72%E -0.652%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-24 22:54
BetAnything1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.72%E -0.652%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 00:09
NetBet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -7.75%E -6.98%K -70.45%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -3.72%E -0.652%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 00:24
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -5.41%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -5.41%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:39
Caesars1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -5.41%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 21:44
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -5.41%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 23:04
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 21:40
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 23:14
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 23:19
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 23:15
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 23:14
Parions Sport (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 00:20
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 21:40
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 00:30
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 21:39
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 00:30
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 22:54
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -7.94%E -1.46%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 00:30
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -1.93%E -1.64%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV -8.79%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-25 00:35
Codere (IT)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.79%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 23:00
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.79%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 23:14
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.79%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 23:15
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.79%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.79%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 23:14
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -1.93%E -1.64%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -10.48%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-25 00:34
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.76%E -2.36%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -11.32%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 00:34
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -11.32%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 22:59
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.09%E -5.39%K -46.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -11.32%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 23:15
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -2.76%E -2.36%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -12.16%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 00:35
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.76%E -2.36%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -15.54%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 00:34
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.76%E -2.36%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -15.54%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 00:30
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -15.54%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-24 22:59
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -17.23%E -3.52%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 00:35
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -23.14%E -5.09%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-25 00:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 83.68%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.32%0.4%2026-02-25 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-02-25 00:35
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-02-25 00:35
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-02-25 00:40
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-02-25 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-02-25 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-02-25 00:39
BetOpenly1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-02-25 00:29
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-02-25 00:35
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%2.2%2026-02-24 23:35