Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.40
assuming max odds 3.35
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Hawks (Local): 69.73%; Philadelphia 76ers (Visit): 30.27%. For Philadelphia 76ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.42%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +1.42%E +0.424%K +0.604%G +0.009% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.61%E -0.494%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.61%E -0.494%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.61%E -0.494%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 23:08 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.61%E -0.494%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.61%E -0.494%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.61%E -0.494%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.61%E -0.494%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.61%E -0.494%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.57%E -4.90%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.61%E -0.494%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -3.08%E -2.22%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -1.91%E -0.589%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -2.52%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -2.52%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 23:08 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.08%E -2.22%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.32%EV -3.08%E -2.22%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.38%E -1.70%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.08%E -2.22%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 23:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -3.08%E -2.22%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -6.75%E -2.19%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 22:57 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -6.75%E -2.19%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 23:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.38%E -1.70%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 23:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.38%E -1.70%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -12.81%E -4.45%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -12.81%E -4.45%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.80% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 29.20% | 1.6% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 2.7% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 2.7% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |