La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Hawks v Philadelphia 76ers

Inicio: 2026-03-07 23:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Hawks (Local)

Predicción 69.73%1.43momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -5.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.29%69.65%69.98%71.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.371.371.4075.19%73.08%72.99%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia 76ers (Visitante)

Predicción 30.27%3.30momio equitativo
EV +1.42%
Ventaja +0.424%
Kelly +0.604%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.87%30.35%30.02%32.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.113.103.3534.72%32.13%32.26%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +1.42%E +0.424%K +0.604%G +0.009%3.4%2026-03-07 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.61%E -0.494%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 23:09
Everygame1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.61%E -0.494%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 23:09
Bet Victor1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.61%E -0.494%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 23:08
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.61%E -0.494%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 23:10
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.61%E -0.494%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 23:10
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.61%E -0.494%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 23:09
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.61%E -0.494%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.61%E -0.494%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 23:10
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.57%E -4.90%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.61%E -0.494%K -0.714%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 23:10
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -3.08%E -2.22%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -1.91%E -0.589%K -0.853%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-07 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -2.52%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 23:09
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -2.52%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 23:09
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 23:09
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 23:09
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 23:08
theScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 23:09
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 23:10
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:09
Dabble (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 23:09
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 23:09
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 23:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.08%E -2.22%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 22:59
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 23:09
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 23:09
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.32%EV -3.08%E -2.22%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.38%E -1.70%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 23:09
TAB1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.08%E -2.22%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 23:09
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 23:01
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 23:09
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:10
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 22:59
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:09
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 22:59
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -3.08%E -2.22%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -6.75%E -2.19%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 22:57
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -6.75%E -2.19%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 23:04
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:09
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:09
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:09
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:09
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:09
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:10
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:09
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 23:08
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 23:05
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.38%E -1.70%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:09
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 23:10
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 23:10
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 23:09
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 23:09
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 23:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.17%E -3.80%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 23:10
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.38%E -1.70%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -12.81%E -4.45%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:10
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -12.81%E -4.45%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 23:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-07 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-07 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-07 23:09
ProphetX1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-07 23:10
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-03-07 23:10
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-03-07 23:09
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 70.80%3.37I 29.67%NM 29.20%1.6%2026-03-07 23:10
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-03-07 23:09
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-03-07 23:10
BetOpenly1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%6.9%2026-03-07 22:59