Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Hawks v Milwaukee Bucks

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 19:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Hawks (Local)

Prediction 79.55%1.26fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -9.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%79.39%79.65%81.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.201.201.2385.47%83.25%83.33%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Bucks (Visit)

Prediction 20.45%4.89fair odd
EV +8.38%
Edge +1.58%
Kelly +1.95%
Growth +0.163%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.08%20.61%20.35%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.584.605.3025.00%21.81%21.74%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Hawks (Local): 79.55%; Milwaukee Bucks (Visit): 20.45%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.89. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -6.93%E -5.92%K -40.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +8.38%E +1.58%K +1.95%G +0.163%4.3%2026-03-14 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +0.200%E +0.041%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 19:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +0.200%E +0.041%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 19:10
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +0.200%E +0.041%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 19:09
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +0.200%E +0.041%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 18:59
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.93%E -5.92%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +0.200%E +0.041%K +0.051%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 19:10
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -0.823%E -0.170%K -0.214%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 19:10
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -0.823%E -0.170%K -0.214%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 19:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -0.823%E -0.170%K -0.214%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 18:59
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -0.823%E -0.170%K -0.214%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -1.23%E -0.255%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 19:10
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -1.85%E -0.384%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:10
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -1.85%E -0.384%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -1.85%E -0.384%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 19:10
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.13%E -5.19%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -1.85%E -0.384%K -0.486%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 19:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 19:10
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 19:10
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 19:09
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 19:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.13%E -5.19%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 19:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.80%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.20%EV -3.07%E -0.648%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 19:00
Coolbet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.89%E -0.828%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 19:09
GTbets🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -3.89%E -0.828%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 19:09
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -3.89%E -0.828%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 19:06
Codere (IT)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -3.89%E -0.828%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -3.89%E -0.828%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 19:00
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 19:09
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.13%E -5.19%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:10
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.13%E -5.19%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.13%E -5.19%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.93%E -5.92%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:03
NetBet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.93%E -5.92%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -2.15%E -1.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:10
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:09
BetAnything🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:10
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 19:10
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.93%E -5.92%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 19:00
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.02%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:10
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.02%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:10
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.02%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.05%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 19:10
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.05%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 19:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.88%EV -2.15%E -1.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.12%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 19:10
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 19:10
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 19:09
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -13.09%E -3.08%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -13.09%E -3.08%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -13.09%E -3.08%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.11%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 19:10
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.13%E -5.19%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -14.11%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 19:10
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.20%E -4.55%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -6.13%E -5.19%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -18.20%E -4.55%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 19:07
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.24I 80.65%NM 80.69%5.18I 19.31%NM 19.31%-0.0%2026-03-14 18:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-03-14 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-03-14 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-03-14 19:10
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-03-14 19:10
Polymarket1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-03-14 19:09
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-03-14 19:10
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.70%4.83I 20.70%NM 20.30%2.0%2026-03-14 19:10
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%2.4%2026-03-14 19:10
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-03-14 19:10