La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Hawks v Milwaukee Bucks

Inicio: 2026-03-14 19:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Hawks (Local)

Predicción 79.55%1.26momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -9.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.63%79.39%79.65%81.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.201.201.2385.47%83.25%83.33%81.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milwaukee Bucks (Visitante)

Predicción 20.45%4.89momio equitativo
EV +8.38%
Ventaja +1.58%
Kelly +1.95%
Crecimiento +0.163%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.08%20.61%20.35%23.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.584.605.3025.00%21.81%21.74%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -6.93%E -5.92%K -40.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +8.38%E +1.58%K +1.95%G +0.163%4.3%2026-03-14 19:10
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +0.200%E +0.041%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 19:09
LowVig.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +0.200%E +0.041%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 19:10
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +0.200%E +0.041%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 19:09
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +0.200%E +0.041%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 18:59
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.93%E -5.92%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +0.200%E +0.041%K +0.051%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 19:10
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -0.823%E -0.170%K -0.214%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 19:10
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -0.823%E -0.170%K -0.214%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 19:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -0.823%E -0.170%K -0.214%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 18:59
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -0.823%E -0.170%K -0.214%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:10
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -1.23%E -0.255%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 19:10
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -1.85%E -0.384%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:10
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -1.85%E -0.384%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -1.85%E -0.384%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 19:10
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.13%E -5.19%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -1.85%E -0.384%K -0.486%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 19:10
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 19:10
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 19:10
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 19:09
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 19:09
Dabble (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.13%E -5.19%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.87%E -0.604%K -0.765%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 19:10
MyBookie.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 79.80%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.20%EV -3.07%E -0.648%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 19:00
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.89%E -0.828%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 19:09
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -3.89%E -0.828%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 19:09
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -3.89%E -0.828%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 19:06
Codere (IT)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -3.89%E -0.828%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:01
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.33%E -4.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -3.89%E -0.828%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 19:00
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 19:09
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.13%E -5.19%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:10
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.13%E -5.19%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:10
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.13%E -5.19%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:04
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.93%E -5.92%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:03
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.93%E -5.92%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:01
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -2.15%E -1.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 19:10
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:10
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:10
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:09
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:10
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:10
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:10
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 19:10
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 19:10
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.93%E -5.92%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.98%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 19:00
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.02%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:10
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.02%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:10
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.02%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.05%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 19:10
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -11.05%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 19:10
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.88%EV -2.15%E -1.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.12%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 19:10
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 19:10
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 19:09
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:10
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -3.74%E -3.09%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -13.09%E -3.08%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -13.09%E -3.08%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:10
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.54%E -3.78%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -13.09%E -3.08%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:10
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -14.11%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 19:10
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.13%E -5.19%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -14.11%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 19:10
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.95%E -2.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.20%E -4.55%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:10
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -6.13%E -5.19%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -18.20%E -4.55%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 19:07
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.24I 80.65%NM 80.69%5.18I 19.31%NM 19.31%-0.0%2026-03-14 18:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-03-14 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-03-14 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-03-14 19:10
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-03-14 19:10
Polymarket1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-03-14 19:09
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-03-14 19:10
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.70%4.83I 20.70%NM 20.30%2.0%2026-03-14 19:10
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%2.4%2026-03-14 19:10
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-03-14 19:10