Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Hawks v Memphis Grizzlies

Kickoff: 2026-03-23 23:41 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Hawks (Local)

Prediction 86.40%1.16fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -18.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.15%86.41%86.42%88.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.111.111.1397.09%90.37%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Grizzlies (Visit)

Prediction 13.60%7.35fair odd
EV +17.00%
Edge +1.98%
Kelly +2.24%
Growth +0.380%

assuming max odds 8.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.16%13.59%13.58%15.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.956.886.938.6016.81%14.54%14.43%11.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Hawks (Local): 86.40%; Memphis Grizzlies (Visit): 13.60%. For Memphis Grizzlies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.35. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -6.69%E -6.20%K -83.67%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV +17.00%E +1.98%K +2.24%G +0.380%4.2%2026-03-23 23:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -11.01%E -10.69%K -367.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV +8.84%E +1.10%K +1.26%G +0.112%9.6%2026-03-23 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.89%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%7.98I 12.53%NM 12.11%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.23%G +0.105%3.4%2026-03-23 23:30
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 87.23%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.77%EV +4.08%E +0.533%K +0.613%G +0.025%2.4%2026-03-23 23:14
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 87.01%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV +2.04%E +0.272%K +0.313%G +0.006%2.6%2026-03-23 23:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +2.04%E +0.272%K +0.313%G +0.006%3.4%2026-03-23 23:29
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.04%E +0.272%K +0.313%G +0.006%4.2%2026-03-23 23:40
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.83%E -5.35%K -64.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.04%E +0.272%K +0.313%G +0.006%5.1%2026-03-23 23:39
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.69%E -6.20%K -83.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.04%E +0.272%K +0.313%G +0.006%5.9%2026-03-23 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -2.04%E -0.284%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 23:39
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -2.04%E -0.284%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 22:15
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -2.04%E -0.284%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 23:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.69%E -6.20%K -83.67%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -2.04%E -0.284%K -0.330%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 22:29
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -3.41%E -0.480%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -3.41%E -0.480%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 23:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.52%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%7.06I 14.16%NM 13.48%EV -3.95%E -0.559%K -0.652%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 23:29
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.29%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.71%EV -4.09%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-23 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.26%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.74%EV -4.36%E -0.620%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-23 22:49
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 22:49
TAB🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 22:13
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 22:14
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 21:39
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 23:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 21:40
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 22:50
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 23:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 22:34
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 23:29
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 23:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -6.67%E -0.972%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-23 22:49
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -7.49%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -8.17%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 23:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -8.17%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 23:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -8.17%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 23:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -8.17%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 23:34
Everygame🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -8.17%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.17%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 23:39
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.17%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.69%E -6.20%K -83.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -8.17%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 23:00
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 22:10
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 23:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 22:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 23:34
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 23:20
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 23:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 23:39
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 23:39
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 23:34
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 23:34
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 23:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -7.56%E -7.06%K -107.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-23 23:34
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.37%E -2.10%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -14.97%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -14.97%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 23:34
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -17.01%E -2.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 23:34
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.37%E -2.10%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -18.37%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.28%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.72%EV -19.05%E -3.20%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 23:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.12I 89.29%NM 89.27%9.32I 10.73%NM 10.73%0.0%2026-03-23 23:25
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 88.23%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.77%0.3%2026-03-23 23:34
ProphetX1.13I 88.50%NM 88.02%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.98%0.5%2026-03-23 23:40
Polymarket1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-23 23:39
Kalshi1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-03-23 23:24
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-03-23 23:29
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-03-23 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-03-23 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-03-23 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-03-23 23:40