La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Hawks v Memphis Grizzlies

Inicio: 2026-03-23 23:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Hawks (Local)

Predicción 86.40%1.16momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -2.10%
Kelly -18.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.15%86.41%86.42%88.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.031.111.111.1397.09%90.37%90.09%88.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Memphis Grizzlies (Visitante)

Predicción 13.60%7.35momio equitativo
EV +17.00%
Ventaja +1.98%
Kelly +2.24%
Crecimiento +0.380%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.16%13.59%13.58%15.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.956.886.938.6016.81%14.54%14.43%11.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Fliff1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -6.69%E -6.20%K -83.67%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV +17.00%E +1.98%K +2.24%G +0.380%4.2%2026-03-23 23:35
Dabble (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -11.01%E -10.69%K -367.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV +8.84%E +1.10%K +1.26%G +0.112%9.6%2026-03-23 23:39
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 87.89%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%7.98I 12.53%NM 12.11%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.23%G +0.105%3.4%2026-03-23 23:30
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 87.23%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.77%EV +4.08%E +0.533%K +0.613%G +0.025%2.4%2026-03-23 23:14
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 87.01%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV +2.04%E +0.272%K +0.313%G +0.006%2.6%2026-03-23 23:20
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +2.04%E +0.272%K +0.313%G +0.006%3.4%2026-03-23 23:29
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.04%E +0.272%K +0.313%G +0.006%4.2%2026-03-23 23:40
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.83%E -5.35%K -64.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.04%E +0.272%K +0.313%G +0.006%5.1%2026-03-23 23:39
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.69%E -6.20%K -83.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.04%E +0.272%K +0.313%G +0.006%5.9%2026-03-23 23:40
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -2.04%E -0.284%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 23:39
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -2.04%E -0.284%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 22:15
ReBet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -2.04%E -0.284%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 23:24
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.69%E -6.20%K -83.67%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -2.04%E -0.284%K -0.330%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 22:29
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -3.41%E -0.480%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 23:40
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -3.41%E -0.480%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 23:19
MyBookie.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 86.52%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%7.06I 14.16%NM 13.48%EV -3.95%E -0.559%K -0.652%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 23:29
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 86.29%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.71%EV -4.09%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-23 22:30
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 86.26%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.74%EV -4.36%E -0.620%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-23 22:49
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 22:49
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 22:13
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 22:14
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 21:39
BetMGM1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 23:19
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 21:40
BetAnything1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 22:50
Neds1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 23:40
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 23:24
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 22:34
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 23:29
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.77%E -0.681%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 23:24
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -6.67%E -0.972%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-23 22:49
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -7.49%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -8.17%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 23:34
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -8.17%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 23:34
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -8.17%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 23:34
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -8.17%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 23:34
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -8.17%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.17%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 23:39
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.17%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:49
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.69%E -6.20%K -83.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -8.17%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 23:00
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 23:40
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 22:10
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 23:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 22:09
Hard Rock Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 23:34
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 23:20
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 23:30
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 23:39
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 23:39
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 23:34
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 23:35
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 23:34
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 23:35
Betclic (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -7.56%E -7.06%K -107.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-23 23:34
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.37%E -2.10%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -14.97%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -14.97%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 23:34
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -4.97%E -4.51%K -49.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -17.01%E -2.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 23:34
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.37%E -2.10%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -18.37%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.28%EV -4.10%E -3.69%K -37.29%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.72%EV -19.05%E -3.20%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 23:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.12I 89.29%NM 89.27%9.32I 10.73%NM 10.73%0.0%2026-03-23 23:25
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 88.23%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.77%0.3%2026-03-23 23:34
ProphetX1.13I 88.50%NM 88.02%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.98%0.5%2026-03-23 23:40
Polymarket1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-23 23:39
Kalshi1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-03-23 23:24
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-03-23 23:29
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-03-23 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-03-23 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-03-23 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-03-23 23:40