La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Žalgiris v FC Bayern München
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Žalgiris (Casa)
Previsione 74.57%1.34quota equa
EV -1.57%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -4.90%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.32
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.05%74.51%74.66%76.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.271.261.3281.97%78.79%79.37%75.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
FC Bayern München (Trasferta)
Previsione 25.43%3.93quota equa
EV +4.26%
Vantaggio +1.04%
Kelly +1.37%
Crescita +0.059%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.30%25.49%25.34%28.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.193.753.754.1031.35%26.67%26.67%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +4.26%E +1.04%K +1.37%G +0.059% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +4.26%E +1.04%K +1.37%G +0.059% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +4.26%E +1.04%K +1.37%G +0.059% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 16:39 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +4.26%E +1.04%K +1.37%G +0.059% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 16:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +4.26%E +1.04%K +1.37%G +0.059% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +4.26%E +1.04%K +1.37%G +0.059% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 16:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -8.28%E -6.73%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV +2.99%E +0.738%K +0.980%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 16:39 |
| William Hill | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.04%E -4.79%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +1.72%E +0.429%K +0.572%G +0.010% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 17:19 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.72%E +0.429%K +0.572%G +0.010% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.72%E +0.429%K +0.572%G +0.010% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.72%E +0.429%K +0.572%G +0.010% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.72%E +0.429%K +0.572%G +0.010% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 17:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.53%E -6.07%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +1.72%E +0.429%K +0.572%G +0.010% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -7.53%E -6.07%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +0.446%E +0.113%K +0.151%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 17:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -7.53%E -6.07%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +0.446%E +0.113%K +0.151%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.30%E -4.17%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.826%E -0.212%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| ReBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.04%E -4.79%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.10%E -0.545%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
| Betsson | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.04%E -4.79%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.10%E -0.545%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 16:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.04%E -4.79%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.10%E -0.545%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 16:15 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.80%E -2.95%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.37%E -0.886%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.37%E -0.886%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.37%E -0.886%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 12:20 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.80%E -2.95%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 17:38 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 16:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.02%E -7.40%K -41.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-24 16:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -3.06%E -2.35%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -5.40%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.55%E -3.55%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 17:43 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -7.53%E -6.07%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.31%E -1.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 17:08 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.06%E -2.35%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.30%E -4.17%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| GTbets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.87%EV -5.30%E -4.17%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.13%EV -8.71%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-24 13:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -1.57%E -1.19%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -8.96%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-24 16:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -1.57%E -1.19%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -9.47%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 13:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -1.57%E -1.19%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -9.47%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 13:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.10%EV -2.31%E -1.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.90%EV -9.47%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 16:35 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.55%E -3.55%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -9.73%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.73%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.31%E -1.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.55%E -3.55%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| TAB | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.30%E -4.17%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 17:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.55%E -3.55%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| Neds | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.80%E -2.95%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -16.08%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.80%E -2.95%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -16.08%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.55%E -3.55%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -16.08%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| BetUS | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.05%EV -3.06%E -2.35%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 28.95%EV -18.88%E -5.92%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-03-24 17:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-03-24 17:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-03-24 17:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 2.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 3.1% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.58% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.94% | 12.2% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |