L’École des cotesFrançais
Žalgiris v FC Bayern München
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Žalgiris (Local)
Prévision 74.57%1.34cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -4.90%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.05%74.51%74.66%76.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.271.261.3281.97%78.79%79.37%75.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Bayern München (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.43%3.93cote équitable
EV +4.26%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.37%
Croissance +0.059%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.30%25.49%25.34%28.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.193.753.754.1031.35%26.67%26.67%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +4.26%E +1.04%K +1.37%G +0.059% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +4.26%E +1.04%K +1.37%G +0.059% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +4.26%E +1.04%K +1.37%G +0.059% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 16:39 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +4.26%E +1.04%K +1.37%G +0.059% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 16:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +4.26%E +1.04%K +1.37%G +0.059% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +4.26%E +1.04%K +1.37%G +0.059% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 16:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -8.28%E -6.73%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV +2.99%E +0.738%K +0.980%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 16:39 |
| William Hill | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.04%E -4.79%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +1.72%E +0.429%K +0.572%G +0.010% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 17:19 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.72%E +0.429%K +0.572%G +0.010% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.72%E +0.429%K +0.572%G +0.010% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.72%E +0.429%K +0.572%G +0.010% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.72%E +0.429%K +0.572%G +0.010% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 17:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.53%E -6.07%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +1.72%E +0.429%K +0.572%G +0.010% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -7.53%E -6.07%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +0.446%E +0.113%K +0.151%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 17:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -7.53%E -6.07%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +0.446%E +0.113%K +0.151%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.30%E -4.17%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.826%E -0.212%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| ReBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.04%E -4.79%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.10%E -0.545%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
| Betsson | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.04%E -4.79%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.10%E -0.545%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 16:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.04%E -4.79%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.10%E -0.545%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 16:15 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.80%E -2.95%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.37%E -0.886%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.37%E -0.886%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.37%E -0.886%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 12:20 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.80%E -2.95%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 17:38 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 16:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.02%E -7.40%K -41.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-24 16:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -3.06%E -2.35%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -5.40%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.55%E -3.55%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 17:43 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -7.53%E -6.07%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.31%E -1.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 17:08 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.06%E -2.35%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.30%E -4.17%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| GTbets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.87%EV -5.30%E -4.17%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.13%EV -8.71%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-24 13:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -1.57%E -1.19%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -8.96%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-24 16:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -1.57%E -1.19%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -9.47%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 13:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -1.57%E -1.19%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -9.47%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 13:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.10%EV -2.31%E -1.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.90%EV -9.47%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 16:35 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.55%E -3.55%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -9.73%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.73%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.31%E -1.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.55%E -3.55%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| TAB | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.30%E -4.17%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 17:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.55%E -3.55%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| Neds | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.80%E -2.95%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -16.08%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.80%E -2.95%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -16.08%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.55%E -3.55%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -16.08%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| BetUS | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.05%EV -3.06%E -2.35%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 28.95%EV -18.88%E -5.92%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-03-24 17:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-03-24 17:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-03-24 17:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 2.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 3.1% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.58% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.94% | 12.2% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |