Language:English
Valencia Basket v Panathinaikos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Valencia Basket (Local)
Prediction 58.78%1.70fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -4.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.45%58.75%58.67%60.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.621.6564.10%61.83%61.73%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Panathinaikos (Visit)
Prediction 41.22%2.43fair odd
EV +0.161%
Edge +0.066%
Kelly +0.113%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.40%41.25%41.33%43.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.282.4347.62%43.88%43.86%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Valencia Basket (Local): 58.78%; Panathinaikos (Visit): 41.22%. For Panathinaikos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.426. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.430, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.161%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV +0.161%E +0.066%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.08%E -0.448%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.08%E -0.448%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.54%E -4.11%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.08%E -0.448%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.72%E -1.15%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.55%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.96%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.96%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -4.37%E -1.88%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-13 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -4.37%E -1.88%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.02%E -2.64%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.02%E -2.64%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.02%E -2.64%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.02%E -2.64%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.02%E -2.64%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.02%E -2.64%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.02%E -2.64%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.60%E -2.19%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.43%E -2.83%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 18:58 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -7.67%E -3.42%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.67%E -3.42%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.60%E -2.19%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.38%E -5.29%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -13.44%E -6.40%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -13.44%E -6.40%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -13.44%E -6.40%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 2.3% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14% | 2.3% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.82% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.47% | 11.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |