L’École des cotesFrançais
Valencia Basket v Panathinaikos
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Valencia Basket (Local)
Prévision 58.78%1.70cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -4.63%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.45%58.75%58.67%60.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.621.621.6564.10%61.83%61.73%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Panathinaikos (Visiteur)
Prévision 41.22%2.43cote équitable
EV +0.161%
Avantage +0.066%
Kelly +0.113%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.40%41.25%41.33%43.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.282.282.4347.62%43.88%43.86%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV +0.161%E +0.066%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.08%E -0.448%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.08%E -0.448%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Bovada | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.54%E -4.11%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.08%E -0.448%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.72%E -1.15%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| William Hill | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.55%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.96%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| ReBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.96%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -4.37%E -1.88%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-13 18:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -4.37%E -1.88%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| 888sport | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.02%E -2.64%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.02%E -2.64%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.02%E -2.64%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.02%E -2.64%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.02%E -2.64%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.02%E -2.64%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| BetUS | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.02%E -2.64%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.60%E -2.19%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.43%E -2.83%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 18:58 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -7.67%E -3.42%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.67%E -3.42%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.60%E -2.19%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.08%E -3.62%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.38%E -5.29%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -13.44%E -6.40%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -13.44%E -6.40%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -13.44%E -6.40%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 2.3% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14% | 2.3% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.82% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.47% | 11.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |