Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Saski Baskonia v Real Madrid
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Saski Baskonia (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 31.01%3.22kurs godziwy
EV +2.33%
Przewaga +0.705%
Kelly +1.01%
Wzrost +0.024%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.30
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.73%30.94%31.13%33.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.773.093.103.3036.10%32.38%32.26%30.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Real Madrid (Goście)
Prognoza 68.99%1.45kurs godziwy
EV -0.652%
Przewaga -0.453%
Kelly -1.48%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.44
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
66.43%69.06%68.87%71.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.301.361.361.4476.92%73.33%73.53%69.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
1 bukmacher oferuje na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji (3-opcyjny zamiast 2-opcyjny przyjętych w analizie). Z powodu tej rozbieżności wyniki analizy należy interpretować ostrożnie.
Kursy bukmacherskie (47 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +2.33%E +0.705%K +1.01%G +0.024% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.86%E -5.08%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.33%E +0.705%K +1.01%G +0.024% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.24%E -6.20%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.24%E -6.20%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.31%E -7.93%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.31%E -7.93%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.31%E -7.93%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -1.39%E -0.438%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -7.55%E -5.64%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 18:24 |
| FanDuel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.32%E -0.738%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.32%E -0.738%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.32%E -0.738%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.86%E -5.08%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| GTbets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.32%E -0.738%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.55%E -5.64%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:24 |
| ReBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Bovada | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.48%E -4.00%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.86%E -5.08%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Coolbet | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -4.80%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 17:09 |
| Betsson | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| NordicBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.24%E -6.20%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.73%EV -6.35%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.27%EV -7.55%E -5.64%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.03%E -1.43%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 17:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.03%E -1.43%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.24%E -6.20%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.52%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.86%E -5.08%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 18:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.52%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.86%E -5.08%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%EV -9.46%E -3.24%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%EV -0.652%E -0.453%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -10.08%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.34%E -0.939%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 16:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.08%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| BetUS | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.57%EV -14.11%E -5.09%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (5)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23% | 3.2% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
Inni bukmacherzy — nieuwzględnieni w analizie (1)
Ci bukmacherzy oferują na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji i zostali wykluczeni z analizy. Ich kursy podano wyłącznie informacyjnie — zasady rozliczania zakładów mogą być odmienne i powodować dodatkową niepewność.
| Bukmacher | Opcja 1 | Opcja 2 | Opcja 3 | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.89% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93% | 11.0% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |