La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Saski Baskonia v Real Madrid
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Saski Baskonia (Local)
Predicción 31.01%3.22momio equitativo
EV +2.33%
Ventaja +0.705%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.73%30.94%31.13%33.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.773.093.103.3036.10%32.38%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Real Madrid (Visitante)
Predicción 68.99%1.45momio equitativo
EV -0.652%
Ventaja -0.453%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.43%69.06%68.87%71.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.361.361.4476.92%73.33%73.53%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +2.33%E +0.705%K +1.01%G +0.024% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.86%E -5.08%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.33%E +0.705%K +1.01%G +0.024% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.24%E -6.20%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.24%E -6.20%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.31%E -7.93%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.31%E -7.93%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.773%E -0.242%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.31%E -7.93%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -1.39%E -0.438%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -7.55%E -5.64%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 18:24 |
| FanDuel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.32%E -0.738%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.32%E -0.738%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.32%E -0.738%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.86%E -5.08%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| GTbets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.32%E -0.738%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.55%E -5.64%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:24 |
| ReBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Bovada | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.48%E -4.00%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.86%E -5.08%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Coolbet | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -4.80%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 17:09 |
| Betsson | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| NordicBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.24%E -6.20%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.73%EV -6.35%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.27%EV -7.55%E -5.64%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.03%E -1.43%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 17:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.03%E -1.43%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.24%E -6.20%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.52%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.86%E -5.08%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 18:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.52%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.86%E -5.08%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%EV -9.46%E -3.24%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%EV -0.652%E -0.453%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -10.08%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.34%E -0.939%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 16:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.08%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| BetUS | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.57%EV -14.11%E -5.09%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23% | 3.2% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.89% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93% | 11.0% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |