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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Real Madrid v Virtus Segafredo Bologna

开赛时间： 2026-03-05 19:45 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

44 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Real Madrid (主队)

预测 83.95%1.19公平赔率
EV -2.62%
优势 -2.26%
Kelly -16.38%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.16

博彩公司预测分布
81.30%83.93%83.79%85.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.081.131.141.1692.59%88.44%87.72%86.21%最小值均值中位数最大值

Virtus Segafredo Bologna (客队)

预测 16.05%6.23公平赔率
EV +7.55%
优势 +1.13%
Kelly +1.32%
增长率 +0.100%

假设最高赔率为 6.70

博彩公司预测分布
14.21%16.07%16.21%18.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.795.806.7020.00%17.28%17.24%14.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Real Madrid (主队)：83.95%；Virtus Segafredo Bologna (客队)：16.05%。 对于“Virtus Segafredo Bologna (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.23。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.70，对应+7.55%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.82%E -6.14%K -61.98%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +7.55%E +1.13%K +1.32%G +0.100%5.0%2026-03-05 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +0.325%E +0.052%K +0.062%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +0.325%E +0.052%K +0.062%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 17:10
William Hill🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +0.325%E +0.052%K +0.062%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 18:04
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +0.325%E +0.052%K +0.062%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 17:40
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +0.325%E +0.052%K +0.062%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 17:40
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.82%E -6.14%K -61.98%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +0.325%E +0.052%K +0.062%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 17:10
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.82%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -0.477%E -0.077%K -0.092%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.82%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -0.477%E -0.077%K -0.092%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.82%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -0.477%E -0.077%K -0.092%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -2.89%E -0.477%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -2.89%E -0.477%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 20:00
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.69%E -0.615%K -0.738%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 17:10
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.69%E -0.615%K -0.738%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.82%E -6.14%K -61.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.69%E -0.615%K -0.738%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -9.34%E -8.64%K -116.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -3.69%E -0.615%K -0.738%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-05 17:10
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -4.81%E -0.811%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 19:25
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -5.29%E -0.897%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 19:30
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.82%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -5.29%E -0.897%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 19:39
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.90%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 19:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.90%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.90%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.90%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.90%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.90%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.90%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.90%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 10:40
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -6.90%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 17:10
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.70%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:33
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -6.82%E -6.14%K -61.98%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -8.50%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.62%E -2.26%K -16.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -10.11%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 19:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.82%E -6.14%K -61.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -10.11%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.71%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 15:50
Everygame🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.71%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.71%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.82%E -6.14%K -61.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -11.71%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 17:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.82%E -6.14%K -61.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -11.71%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 19:34
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -13.32%E -2.47%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 17:35
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.62%E -2.26%K -16.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -15.73%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 13:44
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -19.74%E -3.95%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 16:45
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -19.74%E -3.95%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 17:20
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.74%E -3.95%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 13:45
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.74%E -3.95%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.74%E -3.95%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 14:14
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-03-05 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-03-05 19:15
Matchbook◎1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%3.2%2026-03-05 19:20

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.86%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%9.8%2026-03-05 13:45