Lingua:Italiano
Real Madrid v Virtus Segafredo Bologna
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Real Madrid (Casa)
Previsione 83.95%1.19quota equa
EV -2.62%
Vantaggio -2.26%
Kelly -16.38%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.16
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
81.30%83.93%83.79%85.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.081.131.141.1692.59%88.44%87.72%86.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Trasferta)
Previsione 16.05%6.23quota equa
EV +7.55%
Vantaggio +1.13%
Kelly +1.32%
Crescita +0.100%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.21%16.07%16.21%18.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.795.806.7020.00%17.28%17.24%14.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Real Madrid (Casa): 83.95%; Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Trasferta): 16.05%. Per Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.23. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.70, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +7.55%.
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.82%E -6.14%K -61.98%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +7.55%E +1.13%K +1.32%G +0.100% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.53%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +0.325%E +0.052%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.53%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +0.325%E +0.052%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.53%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +0.325%E +0.052%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 18:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +0.325%E +0.052%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +0.325%E +0.052%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.82%E -6.14%K -61.98%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +0.325%E +0.052%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -0.477%E -0.077%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -0.477%E -0.077%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -0.477%E -0.077%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -2.89%E -0.477%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -2.89%E -0.477%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 20:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.69%E -0.615%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.69%E -0.615%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.82%E -6.14%K -61.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.69%E -0.615%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -9.34%E -8.64%K -116.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -3.69%E -0.615%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-05 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -4.81%E -0.811%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -5.29%E -0.897%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -5.29%E -0.897%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 19:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.90%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 19:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.90%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.90%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 23:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.90%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 23:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.90%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 23:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.90%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.90%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.90%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 10:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.98%E -5.34%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -6.90%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.70%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 19:33 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -6.82%E -6.14%K -61.98%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -8.50%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.62%E -2.26%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -10.11%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.82%E -6.14%K -61.98%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -10.11%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.71%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 15:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.71%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 16:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.14%E -4.55%K -39.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.71%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.82%E -6.14%K -61.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -11.71%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 17:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.82%E -6.14%K -61.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -11.71%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 19:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -13.32%E -2.47%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 17:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.62%E -2.26%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -15.73%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 13:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -19.74%E -3.95%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.46%E -3.01%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -19.74%E -3.95%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.74%E -3.95%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.74%E -3.95%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.30%E -3.77%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.74%E -3.95%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 14:14 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-03-05 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43% | 3.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.86% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79% | 9.8% | 2026-03-05 13:45 |