La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Real Madrid v Hapoel Tel Aviv
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Real Madrid (Casa)
Previsione 68.80%1.45quota equa
EV -2.30%
Vantaggio -1.62%
Kelly -5.48%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.14%68.94%68.81%71.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.371.361.4275.19%73.02%73.53%70.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Trasferta)
Previsione 31.20%3.21quota equa
EV +2.96%
Vantaggio +0.896%
Kelly +1.29%
Crescita +0.038%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.73%31.06%31.19%32.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.053.053.3035.71%32.80%32.79%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -7.12%E -5.27%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +2.96%E +0.896%K +1.29%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 15:04 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.49%E -6.39%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.96%E +0.896%K +1.29%G +0.038% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 14:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.49%E -6.39%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.96%E +0.896%K +1.29%G +0.038% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 14:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.49%E -6.39%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.96%E +0.896%K +1.29%G +0.038% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.12%E -5.27%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.620%G +0.009% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 08:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -1.10%E -0.347%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.72%E -0.547%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 12:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.72%E -0.547%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 12:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.74%E -4.19%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -1.72%E -0.547%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.74%E -4.19%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -1.72%E -0.547%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 18:19 |
| Unibet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.74%E -4.19%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -1.72%E -0.547%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.72%E -0.547%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.72%E -0.547%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 18:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.72%E -0.547%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 18:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.72%E -0.547%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 18:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.37%E -3.14%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 16:30 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 09:20 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 09:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 18:15 |
| ReBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -4.37%E -3.14%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -4.53%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 14:04 |
| GTbets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 08:24 |
| Betsson | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.84%E -1.59%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 14:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.84%E -1.59%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 14:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.84%E -1.59%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 18:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.37%E -3.14%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -5.47%E -1.80%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-24 12:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.30%E -1.62%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 18:14 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.68%E -2.63%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 09:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 14:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 14:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 14:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.12%E -5.27%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-24 13:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -2.99%E -2.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -7.03%E -2.36%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-24 09:13 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -3.68%E -2.63%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -7.03%E -2.36%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 18:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -7.03%E -2.36%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 18:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.68%E -2.63%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.96%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 10:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -8.90%E -3.05%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-23 14:40 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 10:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 09:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 19:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 20:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-24 18:44 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.14%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -12.02%E -4.26%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 19:54 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.64%E -4.52%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-23 10:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.64%E -4.52%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-23 10:49 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.43%E -4.73%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.64%E -4.52%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-23 10:49 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-24 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-03-24 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-03-24 19:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-03-24 19:54 |
| Matchbook | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11% | 3.7% | 2026-03-24 19:54 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.64% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.5% | 2026-03-23 14:44 |