Language:English
Paris Basketball v Olympiacos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Paris Basketball (Local)
Prediction 36.43%2.75fair odd
EV +0.538%
Edge +0.195%
Kelly +0.306%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.02%36.47%36.50%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.592.582.7641.67%38.66%38.76%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Olympiacos (Visit)
Prediction 63.57%1.57fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -3.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%63.53%63.50%64.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.5469.44%66.99%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Paris Basketball (Local): 36.43%; Olympiacos (Visit): 63.57%. For Paris Basketball (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.538%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.06%EV +0.538%E +0.195%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.94%EV -5.28%E -3.54%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-10 16:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.65%E -0.610%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.65%E -0.610%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 09:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.65%E -0.610%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.55%E -4.45%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 08:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.65%E -0.610%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.55%E -4.45%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 08:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.65%E -0.610%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.55%E -4.45%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 08:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -2.01%E -0.748%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -7.82%E -5.39%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -3.10%E -1.17%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.28%E -3.54%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-10 12:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-10 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.28%E -3.54%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 10:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 12:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 10:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.82%E -5.39%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 09:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.82%E -5.39%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 10:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.45%EV -6.02%E -2.33%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.55%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 18:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -6.02%E -2.33%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.02%EV -7.82%E -5.39%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -6.75%E -2.64%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.82%E -5.39%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.82%E -5.39%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -7.48%E -2.94%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 18:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.58%E -5.24%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-10 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.58%E -5.24%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-10 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.58%E -5.24%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-10 17:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 1.7% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.6% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.28% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43% | 12.2% | 2026-03-10 19:00 |