L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.76
avec la cote maximale 1.54
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.06%EV +0.538%E +0.195%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.94%EV -5.28%E -3.54%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-10 16:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.65%E -0.610%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.65%E -0.610%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 09:00 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.65%E -0.610%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.55%E -4.45%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 08:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.65%E -0.610%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.55%E -4.45%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 08:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.65%E -0.610%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.55%E -4.45%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 08:19 |
| SportsBet | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -2.01%E -0.748%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -7.82%E -5.39%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| ReBet | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -3.10%E -1.17%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.28%E -3.54%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-10 12:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-10 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.28%E -3.54%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 10:49 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 18:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 17:05 |
| Betsson | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 14:25 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 12:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 10:49 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.82%E -5.39%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 09:58 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.82%E -5.39%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 10:49 |
| GTbets | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.45%EV -6.02%E -2.33%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.55%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 18:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -6.02%E -2.33%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.02%EV -7.82%E -5.39%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 14:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -6.75%E -2.64%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.00%E -2.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 15:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.82%E -5.39%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.82%E -5.39%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -7.48%E -2.94%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 18:00 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| BetUS | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.73%E -1.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.58%E -5.24%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-10 18:00 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.58%E -5.24%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-10 17:59 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.58%E -5.24%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-10 17:59 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 1.7% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.6% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.28% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43% | 12.2% | 2026-03-10 19:00 |