Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.00
assuming max odds 1.94
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Paris Basketball (Local): 49.24%; Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit): 50.76%. For Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.94, with an expected value of -1.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -1.52%E -0.762%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -5.58%E -3.00%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.51%E -1.27%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.58%E -3.00%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 06:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:46 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 19:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 06:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 13:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.06%E -2.15%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 11:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 11:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 19:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 06:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -1.52%E -0.785%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -1.52%E -0.785%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 17:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -6.60%E -3.59%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 09:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 11:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.61%E -4.18%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 17:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -2.54%E -1.32%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-09 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-09 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-09 18:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.89%E -5.41%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 17:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.38% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.62% | 2.3% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.86% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16% | 11.4% | 2026-04-09 18:15 |