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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Paris Basketball v Maccabi Tel Aviv

开赛时间： 2026-04-09 19:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Paris Basketball (主队)

预测 49.24%2.03公平赔率
EV -1.52%
优势 -0.762%
Kelly -1.52%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
48.19%49.33%49.21%50.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.911.912.0054.64%52.48%52.36%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Maccabi Tel Aviv (客队)

预测 50.76%1.97公平赔率
EV -1.52%
优势 -0.785%
Kelly -1.62%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.94

博彩公司预测分布
49.07%50.67%50.79%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.881.881.9455.56%53.24%53.19%51.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Paris Basketball (主队)：49.24%；Maccabi Tel Aviv (客队)：50.76%。 对于“Maccabi Tel Aviv (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.97。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.94，期望值为-1.52%，未产生正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -1.52%E -0.762%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -5.58%E -3.00%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.51%E -1.27%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.58%E -3.00%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 16:10
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 06:24
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:10
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:46
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:30
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 19:25
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-09 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 06:24
ReBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 13:05
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.06%E -2.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 18:30
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 09:50
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 11:14
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 11:14
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 18:55
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 19:40
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 11:20
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 06:24
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 18:20
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -1.52%E -0.785%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 18:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -1.52%E -0.785%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 17:55
Everygame🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -6.60%E -3.59%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 09:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 11:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.61%E -4.18%K -9.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 11:20
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 17:55
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -2.54%E -1.32%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 17:55
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 17:55
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 18:10
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.89%E -5.41%K -11.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 17:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-09 18:55
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.38%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.62%2.3%2026-04-09 18:55
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%3.7%2026-04-09 18:55

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.86%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%11.4%2026-04-09 18:15