默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Paris Basketball v ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne

开赛时间： 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

68%

32%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Paris Basketball (主队)

预测 67.75%1.48公平赔率

EV -1.77%

优势 -1.22%

Kelly -3.92%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布

65.17%67.76%67.79%69.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.361.401.401.4573.53%71.67%71.43%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (客队)

预测 32.25%3.10公平赔率

EV +1.59%

优势 +0.506%

Kelly +0.742%

增长率 +0.012%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布

30.49%32.24%32.21%34.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.622.932.953.1538.17%34.07%33.90%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Paris Basketball (主队)：67.75%；ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (客队)：32.25%。对于“ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.10。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.15，对应+1.59%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -5.83%E -4.19%K -14.95%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV +1.59%E +0.506%K +0.742%G +0.012%	3.7%	2026-03-12 18:40
Bovada🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.018%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-12 17:03
Everygame🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.86%E -5.78%K -21.84%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.018%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-12 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%	3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -0.986%E -0.321%K -0.476%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-12 19:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%	3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -0.986%E -0.321%K -0.476%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-12 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-12 19:45
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-12 19:45
Unibet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-12 19:45
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-12 19:45
BetRivers🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-12 10:54
Svenska Spel🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-12 19:45
ATG (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-12 19:45
SportsBet🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -7.19%E -5.24%K -19.42%G +0.000%	3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -2.60%E -0.860%K -1.29%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-12 11:00
DraftKings🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.48%E -3.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-11 23:14
FanDuel🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-12 11:00
Betway🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-12 02:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-12 19:45
GTbets🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-12 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.48%E -3.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-12 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.48%E -3.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-12 17:20
ReBet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.48%E -3.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-12 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-12 11:00
Betsson🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-12 11:00
NordicBet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-12 11:00
TABtouch🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-12 19:45
Marathon Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -3.80%E -2.67%K -9.04%G +0.000%	2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-12 19:55
Coolbet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.48%E -3.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%	2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.50%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-12 02:09
1xBet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%EV -2.44%E -1.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-03-12 15:15
William Hill🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.12%E -2.18%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-11 23:34
theScore Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-12 14:20
Fanatics🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-12 11:00
BoyleSports🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-12 09:09
Paddy Power🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.86%E -5.78%K -21.84%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-03-12 09:10
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-12 10:59
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.14%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%	2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -9.05%E -3.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-12 10:59
TAB🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-12 11:00
PlayUp🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-12 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-12 11:00
BetUS🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%	2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -10.98%E -3.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-12 11:00
BetMGM🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.77%E -1.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-12 00:58
Neds🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -15.18%E -5.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-03-12 00:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -15.18%E -5.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-03-12 00:59
Coral🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -15.50%E -5.92%K -9.57%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-03-12 00:59

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%	3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%	1.2%	2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%	3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%	1.2%	2026-03-12 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%	3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%	1.2%	2026-03-12 19:55
Matchbook◎	1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%	2.2%	2026-03-12 19:50
Smarkets◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%	2.7%	2026-03-12 19:55

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 60.89%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%	13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93%	11.0%	2026-03-12 00:59