La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Paris Basketball v ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Paris Basketball (Casa)
Previsione 67.75%1.48quota equa
EV -1.77%
Vantaggio -1.22%
Kelly -3.92%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.17%67.76%67.79%69.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.401.401.4573.53%71.67%71.43%68.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Trasferta)
Previsione 32.25%3.10quota equa
EV +1.59%
Vantaggio +0.506%
Kelly +0.742%
Crescita +0.012%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.49%32.24%32.21%34.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.932.953.1538.17%34.07%33.90%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -5.83%E -4.19%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV +1.59%E +0.506%K +0.742%G +0.012% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.018%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 17:03 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.86%E -5.78%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.018%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -0.986%E -0.321%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -0.986%E -0.321%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 10:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -7.19%E -5.24%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -2.60%E -0.860%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 11:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.48%E -3.17%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 11:00 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| GTbets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.48%E -3.17%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.48%E -3.17%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| ReBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.48%E -3.17%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 11:00 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 11:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 11:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -3.80%E -2.67%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.48%E -3.17%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.50%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 02:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%EV -2.44%E -1.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 15:15 |
| William Hill | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.12%E -2.18%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 14:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 11:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 09:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.86%E -5.78%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 10:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.14%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -9.05%E -3.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 10:59 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 11:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 18:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 11:00 |
| BetUS | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.17%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -10.98%E -3.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 11:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.77%E -1.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 00:58 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -15.18%E -5.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-12 00:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -15.18%E -5.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-12 00:59 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -15.50%E -5.92%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-12 00:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42% | 2.7% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.89% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93% | 11.0% | 2026-03-12 00:59 |