L’École des cotesFrançais
Paris Basketball v ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Paris Basketball (Local)
Prévision 67.75%1.48cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -3.92%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.17%67.76%67.79%69.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.401.401.4573.53%71.67%71.43%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visiteur)
Prévision 32.25%3.10cote équitable
EV +1.59%
Avantage +0.506%
Kelly +0.742%
Croissance +0.012%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.49%32.24%32.21%34.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.932.953.1538.17%34.07%33.90%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -5.83%E -4.19%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV +1.59%E +0.506%K +0.742%G +0.012% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.018%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 17:03 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.86%E -5.78%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.018%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -0.986%E -0.321%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -0.986%E -0.321%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 10:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.63%E -0.535%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -7.19%E -5.24%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -2.60%E -0.860%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 11:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.48%E -3.17%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 11:00 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| GTbets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.48%E -3.17%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.48%E -3.17%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| ReBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.48%E -3.17%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 11:00 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 11:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 11:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -3.80%E -2.67%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.48%E -3.17%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.50%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 02:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%EV -2.44%E -1.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 15:15 |
| William Hill | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.12%E -2.18%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 14:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 11:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 09:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.86%E -5.78%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 10:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.14%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -9.05%E -3.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 10:59 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 11:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 18:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.51%E -4.72%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 11:00 |
| BetUS | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.17%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -10.98%E -3.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 11:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.77%E -1.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 00:58 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -15.18%E -5.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-12 00:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -15.18%E -5.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-12 00:59 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -5.15%E -3.68%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -15.50%E -5.92%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-12 00:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42% | 2.7% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.89% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93% | 11.0% | 2026-03-12 00:59 |