Language:English
Panathinaikos v Valencia Basket
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panathinaikos (Local)
Prediction 64.36%1.55fair odd
EV -0.891%
Edge -0.579%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.51%64.35%67.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.461.5471.43%68.38%68.49%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Valencia Basket (Visit)
Prediction 35.64%2.81fair odd
EV +3.37%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.77%
Growth +0.060%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.87%35.49%35.65%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.702.9040.00%37.41%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 64.36%; Valencia Basket (Visit): 35.64%. For Valencia Basket (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.37%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.61%E -6.07%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.37%E +1.16%K +1.77%G +0.060% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.97%E -5.57%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.58%E +0.556%K +0.856%G +0.014% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 17:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -1.98%E -0.720%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -1.98%E -0.720%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.98%E -0.720%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.98%E -0.720%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.98%E -0.720%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.98%E -0.720%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.98%E -0.720%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.90%E -7.07%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.98%E -0.720%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 06:53 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.05%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.97%E -5.57%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.90%E -7.07%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 17:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.90%E -7.07%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 17:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.90%E -7.07%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 17:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.83%E -1.81%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -2.82%E -1.87%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -5.19%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 17:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 17:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.97%E -5.57%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -1.53%E -1.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -5.90%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-08 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -1.53%E -1.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -5.90%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-08 17:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.60%EV -7.97%E -5.57%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.40%EV -6.97%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 17:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.18%E -1.43%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 18:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 17:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -0.891%E -0.579%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -8.40%E -3.27%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -8.75%E -3.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.53%E -1.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.11%E -3.57%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.11%E -3.57%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.11%E -3.57%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 17:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.89%E -4.36%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.26% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.74% | 3.5% | 2026-05-08 17:59 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.40% | 12.6% | 2026-05-08 17:39 |