La scuola delle quote

Panathinaikos v Valencia Basket

Inizio: 2026-05-08 18:15 UTC

Finale: Panathinaikos 86–89 Valencia Basket

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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40 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Panathinaikos (Casa)

Previsione 64.36%1.55quota equa
EV -0.891%
Vantaggio -0.579%
Kelly -1.65%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.50%64.51%64.35%67.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.461.461.5471.43%68.38%68.49%64.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Valencia Basket (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.64%2.81quota equa
EV +3.37%
Vantaggio +1.16%
Kelly +1.77%
Crescita +0.060%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.87%35.49%35.65%37.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.672.702.9040.00%37.41%37.04%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.61%E -6.07%K -20.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.37%E +1.16%K +1.77%G +0.060%4.9%2026-05-08 16:59
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.97%E -5.57%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.58%E +0.556%K +0.856%G +0.014%5.0%2026-05-08 17:39
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -1.98%E -0.720%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 18:04
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -1.98%E -0.720%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 18:04
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.98%E -0.720%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 18:04
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.98%E -0.720%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 18:04
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.98%E -0.720%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 18:04
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.98%E -0.720%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 18:04
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.98%E -0.720%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 16:49
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.90%E -7.07%K -24.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.98%E -0.720%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 06:53
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.05%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 16:59
William Hill1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 17:54
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 16:59
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 17:00
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 18:04
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.97%E -5.57%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.90%E -7.07%K -24.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:39
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.90%E -7.07%K -24.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:39
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.90%E -7.07%K -24.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:39
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.83%E -1.81%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 16:59
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -2.82%E -1.87%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -5.19%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 17:59
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 17:58
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 16:54
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.97%E -5.57%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 18:04
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -1.53%E -1.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -5.90%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 17:49
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -1.53%E -1.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -5.90%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 17:49
MyBookie.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.60%EV -7.97%E -5.57%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.40%EV -6.97%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:04
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.18%E -1.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 18:08
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 16:59
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 17:39
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 16:59
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -0.891%E -0.579%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -8.40%E -3.27%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 16:59
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -8.75%E -3.42%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:10
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.53%E -1.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.11%E -3.57%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 16:54
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.11%E -3.57%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 17:19
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.11%E -3.57%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 17:14
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.89%E -4.36%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 17:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-05-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-05-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-05-08 18:10
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 65.26%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.74%3.5%2026-05-08 17:59

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.40%12.6%2026-05-08 17:39