Language:English
Panathinaikos v Anadolu Efes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panathinaikos (Local)
Prediction 83.84%1.19fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.908%
Kelly -5.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.17%83.64%84.21%85.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.131.131.1891.74%88.40%88.50%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anadolu Efes (Visit)
Prediction 16.16%6.19fair odd
EV +5.06%
Edge +0.778%
Kelly +0.919%
Growth +0.046%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.59%16.36%15.79%18.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.705.706.5021.28%17.53%17.54%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 83.84%; Anadolu Efes (Visit): 16.16%. For Anadolu Efes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.19. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.06%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.06%E +0.778%K +0.919%G +0.046% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 16:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.94%E -6.25%K -63.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.06%E +0.778%K +0.919%G +0.046% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 13:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.94%E -6.25%K -63.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.06%E +0.778%K +0.919%G +0.046% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 13:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +1.02%E +0.163%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 08:52 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.94%E -6.25%K -63.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +1.02%E +0.163%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 16:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.63%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 6.22I 16.08%NM 15.37%EV +0.531%E +0.085%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 17:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.79%EV -7.78%E -7.07%K -77.79%G +0.000% | 6.13I 16.31%NM 15.21%EV -0.923%E -0.151%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 09:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -1.41%E -0.231%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.43%E -3.88%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 13:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 13:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 13:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.94%E -6.25%K -63.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.94%E -6.25%K -63.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 09:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.78%E -7.07%K -77.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 10:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.78%E -7.07%K -77.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 08:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.78%E -7.07%K -77.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 08:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.78%E -7.07%K -77.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 08:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -3.59%E -3.12%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -7.87%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.43%E -3.88%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.11%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 13:43 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.11%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.11%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 13:38 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 16:53 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 13:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.90%EV -1.07%E -0.908%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.10%EV -13.69%E -2.56%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-17 12:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -1.91%E -1.63%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -14.34%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 12:43 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.43%E -3.88%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.15%E -2.89%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 02:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -15.15%E -2.89%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 14:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -15.95%E -3.07%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -4.43%E -3.88%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -15.95%E -3.07%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -17.57%E -3.45%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -3.59%E -3.12%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -17.57%E -3.45%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.43%E -3.88%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.19%E -3.84%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.17%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.83%EV -24.04%E -5.11%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90% | 2.8% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.32% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30% | 11.0% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |