La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.18
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.06%E +0.778%K +0.919%G +0.046% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 16:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.94%E -6.25%K -63.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.06%E +0.778%K +0.919%G +0.046% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 13:39 |
| Betsson | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.94%E -6.25%K -63.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.06%E +0.778%K +0.919%G +0.046% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 13:39 |
| Bovada | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +1.02%E +0.163%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 08:52 |
| SportsBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.94%E -6.25%K -63.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +1.02%E +0.163%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 16:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.63%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 6.22I 16.08%NM 15.37%EV +0.531%E +0.085%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 17:55 |
| GTbets | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.79%EV -7.78%E -7.07%K -77.79%G +0.000% | 6.13I 16.31%NM 15.21%EV -0.923%E -0.151%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 09:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -1.41%E -0.231%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| William Hill | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.43%E -3.88%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 13:49 |
| 888sport | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 13:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 13:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 13:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.94%E -6.25%K -63.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.94%E -6.25%K -63.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 09:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.78%E -7.07%K -77.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 10:49 |
| Coral | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.78%E -7.07%K -77.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 08:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.78%E -7.07%K -77.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 08:49 |
| Neds | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.78%E -7.07%K -77.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 08:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -3.59%E -3.12%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -7.87%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Everygame | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.43%E -3.88%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.11%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 13:43 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.11%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.11%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 13:38 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| Unibet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 16:53 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 13:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.90%EV -1.07%E -0.908%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.10%EV -13.69%E -2.56%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-17 12:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -1.91%E -1.63%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -14.34%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 12:43 |
| PlayUp | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.43%E -3.88%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.15%E -2.89%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 02:24 |
| BetUS | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -15.15%E -2.89%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 14:44 |
| BetRivers | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -15.95%E -3.07%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| TAB | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -4.43%E -3.88%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -15.95%E -3.07%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -17.57%E -3.45%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -3.59%E -3.12%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -17.57%E -3.45%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.43%E -3.88%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.19%E -3.84%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.17%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.83%EV -24.04%E -5.11%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Smarkets | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90% | 2.8% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Matchbook | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.32% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30% | 11.0% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |