La scuola delle quote

Panathinaikos v Anadolu Efes

Inizio: 2026-04-17 18:15 UTC

Finale: Panathinaikos 97–62 Anadolu Efes

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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43 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Panathinaikos (Casa)

Previsione 83.84%1.19quota equa
EV -1.07%
Vantaggio -0.908%
Kelly -5.95%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
81.17%83.64%84.21%85.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.091.131.131.1891.74%88.40%88.50%84.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Anadolu Efes (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.16%6.19quota equa
EV +5.06%
Vantaggio +0.778%
Kelly +0.919%
Crescita +0.046%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.59%16.36%15.79%18.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.705.705.706.5021.28%17.53%17.54%15.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.06%E +0.778%K +0.919%G +0.046%4.7%2026-04-17 16:49
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.94%E -6.25%K -63.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.06%E +0.778%K +0.919%G +0.046%5.5%2026-04-17 13:39
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.94%E -6.25%K -63.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.06%E +0.778%K +0.919%G +0.046%5.5%2026-04-17 13:39
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +1.02%E +0.163%K +0.194%G +0.002%5.3%2026-04-17 08:52
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.94%E -6.25%K -63.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +1.02%E +0.163%K +0.194%G +0.002%6.1%2026-04-17 16:49
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 84.63%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.37%EV +0.531%E +0.085%K +0.102%G +0.001%4.6%2026-04-17 17:55
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 84.79%EV -7.78%E -7.07%K -77.79%G +0.000%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.21%EV -0.923%E -0.151%K -0.180%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 09:54
Coolbet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -1.41%E -0.231%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 18:09
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.43%E -3.88%K -31.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 13:49
888sport1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 13:39
Winamax (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 16:49
Mr Green (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 13:39
888sport (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 13:39
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 10:54
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:30
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.94%E -6.25%K -63.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 18:04
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.94%E -6.25%K -63.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 09:39
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.78%E -7.07%K -77.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 10:49
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.78%E -7.07%K -77.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 08:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.78%E -7.07%K -77.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 08:49
Neds1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.78%E -7.07%K -77.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.02%E -0.504%K -0.605%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 08:49
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -3.59%E -3.12%K -23.91%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -7.87%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 18:09
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.43%E -3.88%K -31.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.11%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 13:43
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.26%E -4.66%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.11%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 10:54
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.11%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 13:38
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 16:04
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 16:04
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 16:04
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 16:04
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 16:04
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 16:04
MyBookie.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 16:53
Codere (IT)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.72%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 13:39
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.90%EV -1.07%E -0.908%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.10%EV -13.69%E -2.56%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-17 12:44
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -1.91%E -1.63%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -14.34%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 12:43
PlayUp1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.43%E -3.88%K -31.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.15%E -2.89%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 02:24
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -6.10%E -5.45%K -50.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -15.15%E -2.89%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 14:44
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -15.95%E -3.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 18:04
TAB1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -4.43%E -3.88%K -31.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -15.95%E -3.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -2.75%E -2.37%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -17.57%E -3.45%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 16:04
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -3.59%E -3.12%K -23.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -17.57%E -3.45%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:04
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.43%E -3.88%K -31.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.19%E -3.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:04
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 81.17%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.83%EV -24.04%E -5.11%K -6.50%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-17 18:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-04-17 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-04-17 18:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-04-17 18:09
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%2.8%2026-04-17 18:09
Matchbook1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%4.1%2026-04-17 18:09

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.32%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%11.0%2026-04-17 14:14