Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.54
assuming max odds 2.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local): 63.02%; Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit): 36.98%. For Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.704. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.700, with an expected value of -0.145%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.95%E -1.92%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.39%E -3.83%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.99%E -0.752%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.99%E -0.752%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.58%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 20:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.21%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 09:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.21%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 19:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.21%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.21%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -1.25%E -0.470%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 17:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -1.25%E -0.470%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.36%E -0.895%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 19:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 09:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.58%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 13:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.99%E -0.752%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 06:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 08:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 22:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 20:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 20:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 20:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 09:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 08:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.06%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 13:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 20:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 08:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 08:57 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.98%E -5.03%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.98%E -5.03%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -12.35%E -5.21%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 17:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.145%E -0.054%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 19:21 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -4.21%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 08:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 19:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.28%E -3.34%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 08:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.28%E -3.34%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.37%E -5.01%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 06:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.63%E -5.95%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.26%E -6.43%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.10%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-13 08:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47% | 1.6% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47% | 1.6% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47% | 1.6% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02% | 2.8% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19% | 3.1% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.86% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44% | 12.0% | 2026-03-13 17:30 |