La scuola delle quote

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano v Maccabi Tel Aviv

Inizio: 2026-03-13 19:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Casa)

Previsione 63.02%1.59quota equa
EV -2.95%
Vantaggio -1.92%
Kelly -5.47%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.24%62.96%62.97%64.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.501.501.5469.44%66.56%66.67%64.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Maccabi Tel Aviv (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.98%2.70quota equa
EV -0.145%
Vantaggio -0.054%
Kelly -0.085%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.41%37.04%37.03%38.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.372.552.552.7042.19%39.16%39.22%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.95%E -1.92%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.39%E -3.83%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 17:40
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.99%E -0.752%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 23:50
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.99%E -0.752%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 23:49
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.58%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 20:45
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 14:35
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.21%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 09:00
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.21%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 19:24
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.21%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.21%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 19:00
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -1.25%E -0.470%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 17:34
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -1.25%E -0.470%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 18:30
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.36%E -0.895%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 18:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 19:19
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 09:00
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.58%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 13:34
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 19:00
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 19:00
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 19:00
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 19:00
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.99%E -0.752%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 17:30
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 06:54
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 08:59
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 22:05
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:35
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:35
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:35
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 09:00
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 08:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 23:25
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 19:00
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.06%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 13:10
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 20:35
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 13:10
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 08:59
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 08:57
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.98%E -5.03%K -8.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 17:40
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.98%E -5.03%K -8.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 17:40
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -12.35%E -5.21%K -9.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 17:44
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.145%E -0.054%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 19:21
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -4.21%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 08:58
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 19:24
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.28%E -3.34%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 08:59
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.28%E -3.34%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.37%E -5.01%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 06:54
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.63%E -5.95%K -19.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 19:25
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.26%E -6.43%K -21.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.10%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 08:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-03-13 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-03-13 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-03-13 19:20
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%2.8%2026-03-13 19:20
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%3.1%2026-03-13 19:25

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.86%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%12.0%2026-03-13 17:30