La scuola delle quote

Maccabi Tel Aviv v Virtus Segafredo Bologna

Inizio: 2026-04-16 18:05 UTC

Finale: Maccabi Tel Aviv 85–89 Virtus Segafredo Bologna

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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44 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Maccabi Tel Aviv (Casa)

Previsione 71.30%1.40quota equa
EV -3.03%
Vantaggio -2.23%
Kelly -8.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.28%71.57%71.27%74.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.321.331.3680.00%75.67%75.19%73.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.70%3.48quota equa
EV +7.63%
Vantaggio +2.03%
Kelly +2.77%
Crescita +0.212%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.15%28.43%28.73%30.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.323.303.7533.33%30.14%30.30%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
SportsBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -10.16%E -8.07%K -39.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +7.63%E +2.03%K +2.77%G +0.212%6.0%2026-04-16 17:55
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -9.45%E -7.44%K -35.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +6.19%E +1.67%K +2.29%G +0.142%5.8%2026-04-16 17:55
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -9.45%E -7.44%K -35.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +3.32%E +0.923%K +1.28%G +0.042%6.5%2026-04-16 17:55
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.452%E +0.129%K +0.181%G +0.001%4.3%2026-04-16 17:55
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.452%E +0.129%K +0.181%G +0.001%4.3%2026-04-16 17:52
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -10.88%E -8.70%K -43.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV +0.452%E +0.129%K +0.181%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-16 17:55
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.983%E -0.285%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 17:55
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.79%EV -1.56%E -0.454%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:55
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 18:00
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 18:00
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 18:00
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 18:00
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 17:54
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 17:55
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 17:55
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.75%E -2.77%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 14:34
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 14:35
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 14:34
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 14:34
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 18:00
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 02:19
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:00
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 17:54
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -6.44%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 17:35
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -6.44%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 17:40
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 12:15
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.75%E -2.77%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 14:50
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 10:35
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:00
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 02:14
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 14:45
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 17:59
Codere (IT)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 18:00
MyBookie.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 70.98%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.02%EV -8.73%E -2.75%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-16 17:59
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 17:55
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 69.86%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.14%EV -12.18%E -3.98%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-16 17:55
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 02:18
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 02:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 02:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-04-16 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-04-16 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-04-16 18:00
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%3.0%2026-04-16 18:00
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%3.2%2026-04-16 18:00

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.96%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%11.4%2026-04-16 17:40