L’École des cotesFrançais
Maccabi Tel Aviv v Virtus Segafredo Bologna
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Maccabi Tel Aviv (Local)
Prévision 71.30%1.40cote équitable
EV -3.03%
Avantage -2.23%
Kelly -8.42%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.28%71.57%71.27%74.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.321.331.3680.00%75.67%75.19%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.70%3.48cote équitable
EV +7.63%
Avantage +2.03%
Kelly +2.77%
Croissance +0.212%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.15%28.43%28.73%30.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.323.303.7533.33%30.14%30.30%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -10.16%E -8.07%K -39.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +7.63%E +2.03%K +2.77%G +0.212% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -9.45%E -7.44%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +6.19%E +1.67%K +2.29%G +0.142% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -9.45%E -7.44%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +3.32%E +0.923%K +1.28%G +0.042% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.452%E +0.129%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.452%E +0.129%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 17:52 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -10.88%E -8.70%K -43.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV +0.452%E +0.129%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.983%E -0.285%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.79%EV -1.56%E -0.454%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
| Unibet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 17:54 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
| William Hill | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.75%E -2.77%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-16 14:34 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 14:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 14:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 18:00 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 02:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 18:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -6.44%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -6.44%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 17:40 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 12:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.75%E -2.77%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 14:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 10:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 18:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 02:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 14:45 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 17:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 18:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.98%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.02%EV -8.73%E -2.75%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-16 17:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.86%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.14%EV -12.18%E -3.98%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 02:18 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 02:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 02:14 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-04-16 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-04-16 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-04-16 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98% | 3.0% | 2026-04-16 18:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 18:00 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.96% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91% | 11.4% | 2026-04-16 17:40 |