Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maccabi Tel Aviv v Anadolu Efes

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maccabi Tel Aviv (Local)

Prediction 67.56%1.48fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -4.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.79%67.54%67.52%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4573.53%71.30%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anadolu Efes (Visit)

Prediction 32.44%3.08fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -0.888%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%32.46%32.48%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.902.903.0037.74%34.47%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maccabi Tel Aviv (Local): 67.56%; Anadolu Efes (Visit): 32.44%. For Maccabi Tel Aviv (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.45, with an expected value of -2.05%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -2.05%E -1.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -2.72%E -1.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -6.23%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 18:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -2.72%E -1.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -6.23%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 18:59
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -2.72%E -1.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -14.02%E -5.29%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 18:59
William Hill🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.40%E -2.38%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 18:59
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.40%E -2.38%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 18:59
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.40%E -2.38%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 18:59
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.40%E -2.38%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -7.21%E -2.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 18:59
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.07%E -2.87%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 18:59
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.07%E -2.87%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.75%E -3.37%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -3.31%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 18:59
Coolbet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.75%E -3.37%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.94%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 18:58
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.75%E -3.37%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.94%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 18:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 19:00
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 18:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 18:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 18:59
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 19:00
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 18:53
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 18:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 18:59
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.31%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 18:59
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.31%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 18:59
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.29%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.29%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.29%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 19:00
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 18:59
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 18:59
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 19:00
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 18:59
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 18:58
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 18:59
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.10%E -4.39%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -6.77%E -4.91%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -3.31%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 18:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.77%E -4.91%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 18:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.77%E -4.91%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 19:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.77%E -4.91%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.45%E -5.44%K -20.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 18:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.13%E -5.97%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 19:00
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.13%E -5.97%K -22.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 18:58
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.13%E -5.97%K -22.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-04-02 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-04-02 19:00
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%3.2%2026-04-02 19:00
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%4.8%2026-04-02 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 75.11%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.89%19.9%2026-04-02 19:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.02%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%12.0%2026-04-02 19:00