L’École des cotes

Maccabi Tel Aviv v Anadolu Efes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 19:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Maccabi Tel Aviv (Local)

Prévision 67.56%1.48cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -4.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.79%67.54%67.52%68.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.401.401.4573.53%71.30%71.43%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anadolu Efes (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.44%3.08cote équitable
EV -2.67%
Avantage -0.888%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.19%32.46%32.48%35.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.902.903.0037.74%34.47%34.48%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -2.05%E -1.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 18:50
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -2.72%E -1.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -6.23%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -2.72%E -1.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -6.23%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 18:59
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -2.72%E -1.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -14.02%E -5.29%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 18:59
William Hill1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.40%E -2.38%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 18:59
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.40%E -2.38%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 18:59
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.40%E -2.38%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 18:59
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.40%E -2.38%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -7.21%E -2.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 18:59
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.07%E -2.87%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 18:59
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.07%E -2.87%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 19:00
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.75%E -3.37%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -3.31%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 18:59
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.75%E -3.37%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.94%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 18:58
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.75%E -3.37%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.94%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 18:59
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 19:00
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 18:59
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 18:59
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 18:59
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 19:00
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 18:53
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 18:59
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 18:59
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.31%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 18:59
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.31%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 18:59
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.29%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 19:00
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.29%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 18:59
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.29%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 19:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 18:59
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 18:59
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 18:59
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 19:00
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 18:59
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 18:58
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 18:59
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.42%E -3.87%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.10%E -4.39%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 19:00
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -6.77%E -4.91%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -3.31%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 18:59
PointsBet (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.77%E -4.91%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 18:59
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.77%E -4.91%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 19:00
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.77%E -4.91%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.45%E -5.44%K -20.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.13%E -5.97%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.67%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 19:00
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.13%E -5.97%K -22.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 18:58
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.13%E -5.97%K -22.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 19:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-04-02 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-04-02 19:00
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%3.2%2026-04-02 19:00
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%4.8%2026-04-02 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 75.11%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.89%19.9%2026-04-02 19:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.02%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%12.0%2026-04-02 19:00