Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

KK Partizan NIS v Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano

Kickoff: 2026-09-25 18:45 UTC

Final: KK Partizan NIS 92–76 Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KK Partizan NIS (Local)

Prediction 56.09%1.78fair odd
EV -0.155%
Edge -0.087%
Kelly -0.199%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.85%56.21%56.22%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.671.681.7863.69%59.91%59.52%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Visit)

Prediction 43.91%2.28fair odd
EV +7.57%
Edge +3.09%
Kelly +5.22%
Growth +0.396%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%43.79%43.78%47.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.172.162.4551.28%46.01%46.30%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KK Partizan NIS (Local): 56.09%; Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Visit): 43.91%. For Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.57%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -11.93%E -7.60%K -20.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +7.57%E +3.09%K +5.22%G +0.396%4.5%2026-09-25 12:17
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.13%E -5.64%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.987%E +0.429%K +0.759%G +0.007%5.2%2026-09-25 15:35
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +0.987%E +0.429%K +0.759%G +0.007%5.6%2026-09-23 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +0.987%E +0.429%K +0.759%G +0.007%5.6%2026-09-23 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +0.987%E +0.429%K +0.759%G +0.007%5.6%2026-09-23 16:40
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +0.109%E +0.048%K +0.085%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 15:35
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.21%E -0.537%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-25 15:23
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 18:40
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 18:00
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.93%E -7.60%K -20.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-25 15:35
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.93%E -7.60%K -20.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-25 15:35
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.93%E -7.60%K -20.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-25 15:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.28%E -1.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 18:44
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.28%E -1.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-25 18:40
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.28%E -1.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-25 18:40
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.40%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-25 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.40%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-25 18:15
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 18:15
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.33%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-25 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.33%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-25 18:40
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-25 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.40%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.04%E -2.82%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 18:00
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.04%E -2.82%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-25 15:20
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -0.155%E -0.087%K -0.199%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-25 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-25 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-25 18:15
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.33%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-25 18:09
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-25 18:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -6.89%E -4.15%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -8.23%E -3.94%K -7.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-25 18:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -6.89%E -4.15%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -8.23%E -3.94%K -7.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-25 18:24
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -2.40%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -14.38%E -7.37%K -15.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-25 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-09-25 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-09-25 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-09-25 18:40
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-09-25 18:40
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%2.8%2026-09-25 18:40

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.25%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%12.4%2026-09-25 15:35