默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

KK Partizan NIS v Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano

开赛时间： 2026-09-25 18:45 UTC

最终结果： KK Partizan NIS 92–76 Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

41 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

56%

44%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

KK Partizan NIS (主队)

预测 56.09%1.78公平赔率

EV -0.155%

优势 -0.087%

Kelly -0.199%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.78

博彩公司预测分布

52.85%56.21%56.22%60.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.571.671.681.7863.69%59.91%59.52%56.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (客队)

预测 43.91%2.28公平赔率

EV +7.57%

优势 +3.09%

Kelly +5.22%

增长率 +0.396%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布

39.05%43.79%43.78%47.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.952.172.162.4551.28%46.01%46.30%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：KK Partizan NIS (主队)：56.09%；Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (客队)：43.91%。对于“Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.28。当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.45，对应+7.57%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (41 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Bovada🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -11.93%E -7.60%K -20.94%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +7.57%E +3.09%K +5.22%G +0.396%	4.5%	2026-09-25 12:17
BetMGM🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.13%E -5.64%K -14.73%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.987%E +0.429%K +0.759%G +0.007%	5.2%	2026-09-25 15:35
888sport🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.89%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +0.987%E +0.429%K +0.759%G +0.007%	5.6%	2026-09-23 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.89%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +0.987%E +0.429%K +0.759%G +0.007%	5.6%	2026-09-23 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.89%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +0.987%E +0.429%K +0.759%G +0.007%	5.6%	2026-09-23 16:40
GTbets🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.89%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +0.109%E +0.048%K +0.085%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-25 15:35
1xBet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.21%E -0.537%K -0.967%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-25 15:23
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-25 18:40
Betway🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-25 18:00
Coolbet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-25 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.93%E -7.60%K -20.94%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-09-25 15:35
Neds🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.93%E -7.60%K -20.94%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-09-25 15:35
Coral🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.93%E -7.60%K -20.94%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-09-25 15:34
Marathon Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.08%E -2.39%K -5.75%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.28%E -1.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-25 18:44
NordicBet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.28%E -1.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-25 18:40
Betsson🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.28%E -1.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-25 18:40
Unibet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-25 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-25 15:20
BetRivers🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-25 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-25 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-25 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-25 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-25 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.16%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-25 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.40%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-25 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.40%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-25 18:15
SportsBet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-25 18:15
BoyleSports🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.33%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-25 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.33%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-25 18:40
TAB🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-25 18:30
DraftKings🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.40%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.04%E -2.82%K -5.30%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-25 18:00
TABtouch🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.04%E -2.82%K -5.30%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-25 15:20
Pinnacle🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -0.155%E -0.087%K -0.199%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-25 18:05
Fanatics🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-25 18:35
FanDuel🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-25 18:40
PlayUp🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-25 18:15
Paddy Power🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.33%E -3.79%K -9.44%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-25 18:09
ReBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.45%E -4.51%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-25 18:44
Codere (IT)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -6.89%E -4.15%K -10.43%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -8.23%E -3.94%K -7.55%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-09-25 18:20
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -6.89%E -4.15%K -10.43%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -8.23%E -3.94%K -7.55%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-09-25 18:24
BetUS🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -2.40%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -14.38%E -7.37%K -15.14%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-09-25 18:20

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%	2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%	0.4%	2026-09-25 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%	2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%	0.4%	2026-09-25 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%	0.8%	2026-09-25 18:40
Smarkets◎	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%	1.5%	2026-09-25 18:40
Matchbook◎	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%	2.8%	2026-09-25 18:40

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 53.25%	2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%	12.4%	2026-09-25 15:35