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KK Crvena zvezda v Žalgiris
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
KK Crvena zvezda (Local)
Prediction 57.38%1.74fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.762%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%57.64%57.40%60.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.631.631.7264.10%61.27%61.35%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Žalgiris (Visit)
Prediction 42.62%2.35fair odd
EV +2.29%
Edge +0.955%
Kelly +1.64%
Growth +0.038%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.70%42.36%42.60%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.222.4047.62%44.57%45.05%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KK Crvena zvezda (Local): 57.38%; Žalgiris (Visit): 42.62%. For Žalgiris (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.29%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -9.34%E -5.91%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +2.29%E +0.955%K +1.64%G +0.038% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 17:48 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -6.47%E -3.97%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +1.44%E +0.605%K +1.04%G +0.015% | 3.4% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -6.47%E -3.97%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +1.44%E +0.605%K +1.04%G +0.015% | 3.4% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -9.34%E -5.91%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +0.162%E +0.069%K +0.120%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -9.34%E -5.91%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +0.162%E +0.069%K +0.120%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.92%E -6.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.162%E +0.069%K +0.120%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.92%E -6.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.162%E +0.069%K +0.120%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.92%E -6.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.162%E +0.069%K +0.120%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.92%E -6.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.162%E +0.069%K +0.120%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.92%E -6.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.162%E +0.069%K +0.120%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 17:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.92%E -6.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.162%E +0.069%K +0.120%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -10.49%E -6.72%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +0.162%E +0.069%K +0.120%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -10.49%E -6.72%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -0.691%E -0.296%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -1.12%E -0.481%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -10.49%E -6.72%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -1.12%E -0.481%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.97%E -0.856%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-24 17:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-24 13:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.75%E -2.86%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.95%E -2.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 17:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.90%E -3.60%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.38%E -2.42%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-24 17:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.03%E -1.79%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -5.81%E -2.63%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.46%E -1.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-24 14:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 13:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -1.31%E -0.762%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -6.66%E -3.04%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -4.75%E -2.86%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -7.51%E -3.46%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 10:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.46%E -1.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.94%E -3.67%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -7.94%E -3.67%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.88%E -1.10%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 16:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.46%E -1.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 07:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.46%E -1.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 07:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.46%E -1.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 07:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-23 11:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.47%E -3.97%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.49%E -5.00%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-24 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.49%E -5.00%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-24 13:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.62%E -4.73%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.49%E -5.00%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-24 13:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50% | 3.0% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.45% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09% | 12.3% | 2026-09-23 11:40 |