默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

KK Crvena zvezda v Žalgiris

开赛时间： 2026-09-24 18:00 UTC

最终结果： KK Crvena zvezda 77–83 Žalgiris

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

57%

43%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

KK Crvena zvezda (主队)

预测 57.38%1.74公平赔率

EV -1.31%

优势 -0.762%

Kelly -1.82%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.72

博彩公司预测分布

55.70%57.64%57.40%60.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.561.631.631.7264.10%61.27%61.35%58.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Žalgiris (客队)

预测 42.62%2.35公平赔率

EV +2.29%

优势 +0.955%

Kelly +1.64%

增长率 +0.038%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布

39.70%42.36%42.60%44.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.102.242.222.4047.62%44.57%45.05%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：KK Crvena zvezda (主队)：57.38%；Žalgiris (客队)：42.62%。对于“Žalgiris (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.35。当时有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.40，对应+2.29%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -9.34%E -5.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +2.29%E +0.955%K +1.64%G +0.038%	5.0%	2026-09-24 17:48
LowVig.ag🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -6.47%E -3.97%K -10.28%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +1.44%E +0.605%K +1.04%G +0.015%	3.4%	2026-09-24 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -6.47%E -3.97%K -10.28%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +1.44%E +0.605%K +1.04%G +0.015%	3.4%	2026-09-24 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -9.34%E -5.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +0.162%E +0.069%K +0.120%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-24 17:50
Unibet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -9.34%E -5.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +0.162%E +0.069%K +0.120%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-24 17:50
BetRivers🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.92%E -6.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.162%E +0.069%K +0.120%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-24 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.92%E -6.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.162%E +0.069%K +0.120%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-24 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.92%E -6.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.162%E +0.069%K +0.120%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-24 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.92%E -6.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.162%E +0.069%K +0.120%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-24 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.92%E -6.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.162%E +0.069%K +0.120%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-24 17:49
Svenska Spel🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.92%E -6.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.162%E +0.069%K +0.120%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-24 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -10.49%E -6.72%K -18.73%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +0.162%E +0.069%K +0.120%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-24 17:45
TABtouch🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -10.49%E -6.72%K -18.73%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -0.691%E -0.296%K -0.519%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-24 17:50
Pinnacle🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -1.12%E -0.481%K -0.846%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-24 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -10.49%E -6.72%K -18.73%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -1.12%E -0.481%K -0.846%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-24 17:50
DraftKings🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.97%E -0.856%K -1.51%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-24 17:44
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-24 17:50
Betsson🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-24 17:50
NordicBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-24 17:50
PlayUp🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-24 13:10
Coolbet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.75%E -2.86%K -7.20%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.95%E -2.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-24 17:54
SportsBet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.90%E -3.60%K -9.22%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.38%E -2.42%K -4.41%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-24 17:48
Marathon Bet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.03%E -1.79%K -4.39%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -5.81%E -2.63%K -4.80%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-24 17:50
Betway🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.46%E -1.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-24 14:20
BetMGM🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-24 13:44
BoyleSports🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-24 17:50
Fanatics🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-24 17:50
Paddy Power🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-24 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-24 17:50
1xBet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -1.31%E -0.762%K -1.82%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -6.66%E -3.04%K -5.59%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-24 17:45
GTbets🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -4.75%E -2.86%K -7.20%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -7.51%E -3.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-24 10:35
ReBet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.46%E -1.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.94%E -3.67%K -6.84%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-24 14:55
FanDuel🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -7.94%E -3.67%K -6.84%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-24 17:50
Bovada🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.88%E -1.10%K -2.65%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-24 16:48
888sport🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.46%E -1.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-23 07:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.46%E -1.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-23 07:40
888sport (SE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.46%E -1.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-23 07:40
TAB🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-23 11:45
BetUS🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-24 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.47%E -3.97%K -10.28%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-09-24 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.49%E -5.00%K -9.54%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-09-24 13:45
Neds🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.49%E -5.00%K -9.54%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-09-24 13:44
Coral🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.62%E -4.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.49%E -5.00%K -9.54%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-09-24 13:45

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%	1.2%	2026-09-24 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%	1.2%	2026-09-24 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%	1.2%	2026-09-24 17:55
Smarkets◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%	2.3%	2026-09-24 17:55
Matchbook◎	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%	3.0%	2026-09-24 17:55

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 51.45%	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%	12.3%	2026-09-23 11:40