Language:English
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Panathinaikos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local)
Prediction 46.96%2.13fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.659%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%46.78%46.95%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.042.042.1051.02%49.13%49.02%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Panathinaikos (Visit)
Prediction 53.04%1.89fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.22%53.05%54.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.761.8458.82%56.53%56.82%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local): 46.96%; Panathinaikos (Visit): 53.04%. For Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -1.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.38%E -0.659%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.38%E -0.659%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.38%E -0.659%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.38%E -0.659%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.38%E -0.659%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.38%E -0.659%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.38%E -0.659%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.71%E -4.43%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 16:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.32%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.59%E -3.14%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.32%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.32%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.32%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -7.71%E -4.43%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -3.26%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -8.24%E -4.76%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.73%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-02 16:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.73%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 16:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.73%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 12:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.73%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.73%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.73%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 14:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.73%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.73%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.20%E -2.06%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.00%E -2.21%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.20%E -2.06%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.14%E -2.55%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.41%E -1.31%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.14%E -2.55%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 16:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.14%E -2.55%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.00%E -2.21%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.14%E -2.55%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.14%E -2.55%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -5.61%E -2.79%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -6.65%E -3.78%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 06:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.94%E -1.60%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 16:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 23:03 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 14:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.12%E -3.46%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.12%E -3.46%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-01 15:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.12%E -3.46%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.24%E -4.76%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.83%E -5.78%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-02 16:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.83%E -5.78%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-02 16:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.83%E -5.78%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-02 16:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.12%E -3.46%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.65%E -3.78%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 16:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 16:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 0.2% | 2026-04-02 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 0.2% | 2026-04-02 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 0.2% | 2026-04-02 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-04-02 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20% | 3.6% | 2026-04-02 16:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.42% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10% | 12.3% | 2026-04-02 16:05 |