L’École des cotesFrançais
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Panathinaikos
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local)
Prévision 46.96%2.13cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.659%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.31%46.78%46.95%47.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.962.042.042.1051.02%49.13%49.02%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Panathinaikos (Visiteur)
Prévision 53.04%1.89cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.86%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.84
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.22%53.22%53.05%54.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.771.761.8458.82%56.53%56.82%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.38%E -0.659%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.38%E -0.659%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.38%E -0.659%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.38%E -0.659%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.38%E -0.659%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.38%E -0.659%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.38%E -0.659%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.71%E -4.43%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 16:04 |
| William Hill | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.32%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.59%E -3.14%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.32%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.32%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.32%E -1.12%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -7.71%E -4.43%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -3.26%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -8.24%E -4.76%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 16:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.73%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-02 16:39 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.73%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 16:49 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.73%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 12:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.73%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.73%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 15:00 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.73%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 14:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.73%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.73%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.20%E -2.06%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.00%E -2.21%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.20%E -2.06%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.14%E -2.55%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.41%E -1.31%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.14%E -2.55%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.47%E -1.90%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 16:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.14%E -2.55%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.00%E -2.21%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.14%E -2.55%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 14:55 |
| ReBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.14%E -2.55%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| GTbets | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -5.61%E -2.79%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -6.65%E -3.78%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 06:05 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.94%E -1.60%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 16:49 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 23:03 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 14:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.12%E -3.46%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.12%E -3.46%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-01 15:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.12%E -3.46%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 16:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.24%E -4.76%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.83%E -5.78%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-02 16:04 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.83%E -5.78%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-02 16:05 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.83%E -5.78%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-02 16:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.12%E -3.46%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.65%E -3.78%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 16:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -7.18%E -4.10%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 16:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 0.2% | 2026-04-02 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 0.2% | 2026-04-02 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 0.2% | 2026-04-02 16:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-04-02 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20% | 3.6% | 2026-04-02 16:55 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.42% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10% | 12.3% | 2026-04-02 16:05 |