Language:English
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Olympiacos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local)
Prediction 44.98%2.22fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.04%45.21%44.96%48.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.072.102.1652.08%48.23%47.62%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Olympiacos (Visit)
Prediction 55.02%1.82fair odd
EV +3.99%
Edge +2.11%
Kelly +4.48%
Growth +0.179%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.04%54.79%55.04%55.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.721.8959.88%57.82%58.14%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local): 44.98%; Olympiacos (Visit): 55.02%. For Olympiacos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.99%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -11.39%E -5.78%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV +3.99%E +2.11%K +4.48%G +0.179% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -13.19%E -6.83%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV +1.79%E +0.965%K +2.10%G +0.038% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -9.14%E -4.52%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -1.52%E -0.847%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.44%E -3.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.07%E -1.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -10.94%E -5.52%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -2.62%E -1.48%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -4.19%E -1.97%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.17%E -1.80%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -13.64%E -7.10%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -3.17%E -1.80%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.72%E -2.12%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.72%E -2.12%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.72%E -2.12%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.79%E -3.80%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.72%E -2.12%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.29%E -1.53%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.27%E -2.45%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.29%E -1.53%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.27%E -2.45%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -5.09%E -2.41%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.27%E -2.45%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.79%E -3.80%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.27%E -2.45%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.04%E -5.02%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.27%E -2.45%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.64%E -2.19%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.82%E -2.78%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.64%E -2.19%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.82%E -2.78%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.64%E -2.19%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.82%E -2.78%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.78%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 16:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.78%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.04%E -5.02%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.82%E -2.78%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 16:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.84%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.74%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.64%E -2.19%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.64%E -2.19%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.79%E -3.80%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.79%E -3.80%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.29%E -1.53%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.44%E -3.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.79%E -3.80%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.84%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.47%E -3.80%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.47%E -3.80%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.34%E -3.56%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.47%E -3.80%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.04%E -5.02%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.47%E -3.80%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.04%E -5.02%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.47%E -3.80%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.04%E -5.02%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.47%E -3.80%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.02%E -4.15%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -8.24%E -4.04%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -7.02%E -4.15%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -8.24%E -4.04%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -7.02%E -4.15%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.79%E -3.80%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.57%E -4.50%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.12%E -4.86%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.12%E -4.86%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96% | 2.8% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.42% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10% | 12.3% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |