L’École des cotesFrançais
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Olympiacos
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local)
Prévision 44.98%2.22cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -2.45%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.16
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.04%45.21%44.96%48.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.922.072.102.1652.08%48.23%47.62%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Olympiacos (Visiteur)
Prévision 55.02%1.82cote équitable
EV +3.99%
Avantage +2.11%
Kelly +4.48%
Croissance +0.179%
avec la cote maximale 1.89
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.04%54.79%55.04%55.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.731.721.8959.88%57.82%58.14%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -11.39%E -5.78%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV +3.99%E +2.11%K +4.48%G +0.179% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 16:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -13.19%E -6.83%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV +1.79%E +0.965%K +2.10%G +0.038% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -9.14%E -4.52%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -1.52%E -0.847%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| William Hill | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.44%E -3.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.07%E -1.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -10.94%E -5.52%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -2.62%E -1.48%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -4.19%E -1.97%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.17%E -1.80%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| BetUS | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -13.64%E -7.10%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -3.17%E -1.80%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.72%E -2.12%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.72%E -2.12%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.72%E -2.12%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.79%E -3.80%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.72%E -2.12%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.29%E -1.53%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.27%E -2.45%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.29%E -1.53%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.27%E -2.45%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| ReBet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -5.09%E -2.41%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.27%E -2.45%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| GTbets | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.79%E -3.80%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.27%E -2.45%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.04%E -5.02%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.27%E -2.45%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.64%E -2.19%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.82%E -2.78%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.64%E -2.19%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.82%E -2.78%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.64%E -2.19%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.82%E -2.78%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.78%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 16:28 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.78%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.04%E -5.02%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.82%E -2.78%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 16:31 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.84%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.74%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.64%E -2.19%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.64%E -2.19%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.79%E -3.80%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.79%E -3.80%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.37%E -3.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.29%E -1.53%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.44%E -3.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.79%E -3.80%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.92%E -3.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.84%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.47%E -3.80%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.47%E -3.80%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.34%E -3.56%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.47%E -3.80%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.04%E -5.02%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.47%E -3.80%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.04%E -5.02%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.47%E -3.80%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.04%E -5.02%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.47%E -3.80%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.02%E -4.15%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -8.24%E -4.04%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -7.02%E -4.15%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -8.24%E -4.04%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -7.02%E -4.15%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.79%E -3.80%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.57%E -4.50%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.12%E -4.86%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.54%E -2.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.12%E -4.86%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96% | 2.8% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.42% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10% | 12.3% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |