Language:English
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Fenerbahce SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local)
Prediction 54.63%1.83fair odd
EV -0.572%
Edge -0.314%
Kelly -0.698%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.97%54.57%54.53%56.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.741.741.8260.61%57.53%57.47%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fenerbahce SK (Visit)
Prediction 45.37%2.20fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.927%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.42%45.43%45.47%47.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.082.1651.28%48.30%48.08%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local): 54.63%; Fenerbahce SK (Visit): 45.37%. For Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.82, with an expected value of -0.572%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.09%EV -0.572%E -0.314%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-07 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.66%E -0.925%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 15:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.76%E -1.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 21:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 15:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 15:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 15:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -8.35%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 21:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.40%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.40%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.40%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 15:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.40%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.40%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 14:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.40%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.40%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 15:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.00%E -0.927%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 15:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.91%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 15:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 15:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -11.08%E -5.65%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 15:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -11.08%E -5.65%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 15:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-07 15:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 21:23 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.04%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.04%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -8.35%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 15:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 15:51 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.27%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.35%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 15:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.35%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 15:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.77%E -5.25%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.86%E -5.98%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 15:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.7% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67% | 2.7% | 2026-04-07 15:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.07% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16% | 11.4% | 2026-04-07 15:50 |