L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Fenerbahce SK
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local)
Prévision 54.63%1.83cote équitable
EV -0.572%
Avantage -0.314%
Kelly -0.698%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.97%54.57%54.53%56.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.741.741.8260.61%57.53%57.47%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fenerbahce SK (Visiteur)
Prévision 45.37%2.20cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -0.927%
Kelly -1.73%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.16
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.42%45.43%45.47%47.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.072.082.1651.28%48.30%48.08%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.09%EV -0.572%E -0.314%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-07 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.66%E -0.925%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 15:54 |
| William Hill | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.76%E -1.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 21:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 15:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 15:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 15:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| GTbets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -8.35%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 21:39 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.40%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.40%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.40%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 15:54 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.40%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.40%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 14:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.40%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 14:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.40%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 15:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.00%E -0.927%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 15:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.91%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 15:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 15:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -11.08%E -5.65%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 15:54 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -11.08%E -5.65%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 15:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| ReBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-07 15:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 21:23 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.04%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.04%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -8.35%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 15:49 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 15:51 |
| SportsBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.27%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.35%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 15:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.35%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 15:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.77%E -5.25%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.86%E -5.98%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 15:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.7% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67% | 2.7% | 2026-04-07 15:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 15:55 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.07% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16% | 11.4% | 2026-04-07 15:50 |