Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.35
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Hapoel Tel Aviv (Casa): 72.69%; FC Bayern München (Trasferta): 27.31%. Per FC Bayern München (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.66. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.90, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.50%.
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -7.68%E -6.05%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +6.50%E +1.67%K +2.24%G +0.146% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.77%E -3.64%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.871%E -0.240%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-24 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.77%E -3.64%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.871%E -0.240%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-24 15:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.69%E -0.469%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-24 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.69%E -0.469%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-24 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.95%E -5.43%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.69%E -0.469%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 07:48 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.77%E -3.64%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -3.06%E -0.861%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-24 13:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.06%E -0.861%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.84%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -3.33%E -0.940%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-24 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-24 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 07:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 07:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-23 08:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-23 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-23 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-23 15:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.95%E -5.43%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-24 11:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.04%EV -7.68%E -6.05%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-24 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.32%E -2.50%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-24 11:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 08:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 08:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 08:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 08:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 08:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-24 13:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-24 11:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-24 08:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.64%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-24 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-24 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-23 08:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -1.87%E -1.38%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 08:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -15.34%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-24 15:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.86%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.14%EV -16.44%E -5.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-24 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.32%E -2.50%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -18.08%E -6.03%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-24 08:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.32%E -2.50%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -18.08%E -6.03%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-24 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.32%E -2.50%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -18.08%E -6.03%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-24 08:48 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-24 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-24 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-24 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-09-24 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 2.4% | 2026-09-24 15:55 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.98% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.98% | 11.4% | 2026-09-24 08:50 |