預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Fenerbahce SK v Real Madrid

開賽時間: 2026-04-09 17:50 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

44 家博彩公司 (17 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Fenerbahce SK (主隊)

預測 53.87%1.86公平賠率
EV -1.42%
優勢 -0.773%
Kelly -1.71%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.83

博彩公司預測分布
51.98%53.80%53.95%55.70%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.671.761.761.8359.88%56.69%56.82%54.64%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Real Madrid (客隊)

預測 46.13%2.17公平賠率
EV -1.75%
優勢 -0.820%
Kelly -1.55%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.13

博彩公司預測分布
44.30%46.20%46.05%48.02%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.932.032.042.1351.81%49.19%49.02%46.95%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Fenerbahce SK (主隊):53.87%;Real Madrid (客隊):46.13%。 對於「Fenerbahce SK (主隊)」,該估計相當於1.86的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為1.83,期望值為-1.42%,未產生正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(3 個賽果,而分析採用 2 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (44 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 17:45
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 17:43
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 17:45
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -1.95%E -1.07%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -9.13%E -4.63%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -2.49%E -1.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -9.59%E -4.89%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 17:45
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.03%E -1.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.03%E -1.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 17:45
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.24%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.76%EV -2.67%E -1.26%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 17:44
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 17:35
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.05%E -1.95%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 17:44
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.90%E -2.89%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 17:44
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.90%E -2.89%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 17:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -10.97%E -5.68%K -11.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 17:45
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.65%E -2.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 17:44
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.65%E -2.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 17:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.65%E -2.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 17:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.21%E -1.04%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.21%E -1.04%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 17:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.05%E -1.95%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 17:45
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 17:44
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 17:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 17:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 17:44
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -6.36%E -3.13%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -6.26%E -3.60%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -1.75%E -0.820%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 17:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.26%E -3.60%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.26%E -3.60%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 17:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -6.26%E -3.60%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.65%EV -8.20%E -4.12%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-09 17:44
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.80%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 17:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.80%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.20%E -4.12%K -8.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 17:45
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.80%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-09 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.80%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-09 17:44
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.80%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-09 17:44
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.34%E -4.27%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 17:45
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 17:45
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 17:45
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.42%E -4.95%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 17:44
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.50%E -5.65%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.03%E -6.01%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 17:45
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-04-09 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-04-09 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-04-09 17:45
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%3.3%2026-04-09 17:45
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%3.6%2026-04-09 17:45

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2選項 3利潤率 ▲更新時間
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.07%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%11.4%2026-04-09 17:45