Fenerbahce SK v Real Madrid

开赛时间： 2026-04-09 17:50 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

44 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

54%

46%

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Fenerbahce SK (主队)

预测 53.87%1.86公平赔率

EV -1.42%

优势 -0.773%

Kelly -1.71%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布

51.98%53.80%53.95%55.70%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

1.671.761.761.8359.88%56.69%56.82%54.64%MIN均值中位数MAX

Real Madrid (客队)

预测 46.13%2.17公平赔率

EV -1.75%

优势 -0.820%

Kelly -1.55%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.13

博彩公司预测分布

44.30%46.20%46.05%48.02%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

1.932.032.042.1351.81%49.19%49.02%46.95%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Unibet	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-09 17:45
Unibet (NL)	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-09 17:45
LiveScore Bet	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-09 17:45
Unibet (SE)	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-09 17:45
Coolbet	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-09 17:43
Svenska Spel	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-09 17:45
ATG (SE)	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-09 17:45
BetRivers	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -1.95%E -1.07%K -2.38%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -9.13%E -4.63%K -9.41%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-04-09 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -2.49%E -1.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -9.59%E -4.89%K -9.99%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-04-09 17:45
Betway	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.03%E -1.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-09 17:45
TABtouch	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.03%E -1.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-09 17:45
Pinnacle	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.24%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 45.76%EV -2.67%E -1.26%K -2.40%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-04-09 17:44
1xBet	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-04-09 17:35
William Hill	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.05%E -1.95%K -3.75%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-09 17:44
NordicBet	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.90%E -2.89%K -5.67%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-09 17:44
Betsson	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.90%E -2.89%K -5.67%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-09 17:44
PMU (FR)	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -10.97%E -5.68%K -11.80%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-04-09 17:45
DraftKings	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.65%E -2.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-09 17:44
Bovada	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.65%E -2.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-09 17:38
PointsBet (AU)	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.65%E -2.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-09 17:44
BetOnline.ag	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.82%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.21%E -1.04%K -1.97%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-04-09 17:45
LowVig.ag	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.82%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.21%E -1.04%K -1.97%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-04-09 17:44
Winamax (DE)	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.82%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-09 17:45
Unibet (UK)	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.05%E -1.95%K -3.75%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-09 17:45
888sport	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-09 17:44
Everygame	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-09 17:44
888sport (SE)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-09 17:44
Mr Green (SE)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-09 17:44
GTbets	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -6.36%E -3.13%K -6.17%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-09 17:45
Marathon Bet	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -6.26%E -3.60%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -1.75%E -0.820%K -1.55%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-04-09 17:44
Winamax (FR)	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.26%E -3.60%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-09 17:45
BetMGM	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.26%E -3.60%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-09 17:45
MyBookie.ag	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -6.26%E -3.60%K -8.46%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 46.65%EV -8.20%E -4.12%K -8.29%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-04-09 17:44
BoyleSports	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.80%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-04-09 17:44
Codere (IT)	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.80%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.20%E -4.12%K -8.29%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-04-09 17:45
Coral	1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.80%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-04-09 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.80%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-04-09 17:44
Neds	1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.80%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-04-09 17:44
PlayUp	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.34%E -4.27%K -10.20%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-09 17:45
theScore Bet	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-09 17:45
Fanatics	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-04-09 17:45
ReBet	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.42%E -4.95%K -12.03%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-04-09 17:44
TAB	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.50%E -5.65%K -13.96%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-09 17:45
Paddy Power	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.03%E -6.01%K -14.98%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-09 17:45

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%	2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%	0.1%	2026-04-09 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%	1.8%	2026-04-09 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%	1.8%	2026-04-09 17:45
Matchbook	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%	3.3%	2026-04-09 17:45
Smarkets	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%	3.6%	2026-04-09 17:45

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.83I 54.64%NM 49.07%	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%	11.4%	2026-04-09 17:45