La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Fenerbahce SK v Real Madrid
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Fenerbahce SK (Casa)
Previsione 53.87%1.86quota equa
EV -1.42%
Vantaggio -0.773%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.98%53.80%53.95%55.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.761.761.8359.88%56.69%56.82%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Real Madrid (Trasferta)
Previsione 46.13%2.17quota equa
EV -1.75%
Vantaggio -0.820%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.13
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.30%46.20%46.05%48.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.932.032.042.1351.81%49.19%49.02%46.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 17:43 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.42%E -0.773%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -1.95%E -1.07%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -9.13%E -4.63%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -2.49%E -1.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -9.59%E -4.89%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.03%E -1.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.03%E -1.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.24%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.76%EV -2.67%E -1.26%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 17:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 17:35 |
| William Hill | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.05%E -1.95%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 17:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.90%E -2.89%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 17:44 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.90%E -2.89%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 17:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -10.97%E -5.68%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.65%E -2.63%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 17:44 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.65%E -2.63%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 17:38 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.65%E -2.63%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 17:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.21%E -1.04%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.21%E -1.04%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-09 17:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.05%E -1.95%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 17:44 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 17:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 17:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 17:44 |
| GTbets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -6.36%E -3.13%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -6.26%E -3.60%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -1.75%E -0.820%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 17:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.26%E -3.60%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.26%E -3.60%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -6.26%E -3.60%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.65%EV -8.20%E -4.12%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 17:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.80%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 17:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.80%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.20%E -4.12%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.80%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.80%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-09 17:44 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.80%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-09 17:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.34%E -4.27%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| ReBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.42%E -4.95%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 17:44 |
| TAB | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.50%E -5.65%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.03%E -6.01%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 0.1% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.8% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.8% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.07% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16% | 11.4% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |