Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Bayern München v Dubai Basketball

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Bayern München (Local)

Prediction 49.99%2.00fair odd
EV -0.029%
Edge -0.014%
Kelly -0.029%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%49.75%50.00%50.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.912.0054.64%52.26%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dubai Basketball (Visit)

Prediction 50.01%2.00fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -3.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.35%50.25%50.00%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.871.871.9455.25%53.46%53.48%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Bayern München (Local): 49.99%; Dubai Basketball (Visit): 50.01%. For FC Bayern München (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.001. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.000, with an expected value of -0.029%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.029%E -0.014%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.029%E -0.014%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:19
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45%EV -0.529%E -0.266%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 18:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -1.03%E -0.519%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -7.97%E -4.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:19
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -1.03%E -0.519%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -7.97%E -4.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.53%E -0.776%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.53%E -0.776%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.53%E -0.776%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.53%E -0.776%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.03%E -1.03%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 19:19
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.53%E -1.30%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -2.53%E -1.30%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -8.97%E -4.93%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:20
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -9.47%E -5.23%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 19:19
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 19:24
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.47%E -2.90%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:23
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.97%E -3.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 19:19
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.03%E -2.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.47%E -2.90%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 19:25
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.03%E -2.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 15:19
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 17:09
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 18:59
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 19:00
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 20:00
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 15:15
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:09
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:09
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -5.53%E -2.92%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -2.97%E -1.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 19:18
ReBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.53%E -2.92%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:20
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -5.47%E -2.90%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 19:19
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:10
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 19:35
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 19:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -6.97%E -3.75%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 19:23
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.36%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.00%EV -7.97%E -4.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 17:24
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 17:09
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-18 15:13
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-18 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-18 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-03-19 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-03-19 19:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-03-19 19:19
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%1.8%2026-03-19 19:19
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 48.56%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.44%4.5%2026-03-19 19:19

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%11.3%2026-03-18 15:35