La scuola delle quote

FC Bayern München v Dubai Basketball

Inizio: 2026-03-19 19:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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43 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Bayern München (Casa)

Previsione 49.99%2.00quota equa
EV -0.029%
Vantaggio -0.014%
Kelly -0.029%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.78%49.75%50.00%50.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.911.912.0054.64%52.26%52.36%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Dubai Basketball (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.01%2.00quota equa
EV -2.97%
Vantaggio -1.53%
Kelly -3.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.94

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.35%50.25%50.00%52.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.811.871.871.9455.25%53.46%53.48%51.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.029%E -0.014%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:19
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.029%E -0.014%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:19
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45%EV -0.529%E -0.266%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 18:24
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -1.03%E -0.519%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -7.97%E -4.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:19
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -1.03%E -0.519%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -7.97%E -4.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:19
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.53%E -0.776%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:19
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.53%E -0.776%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:19
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.53%E -0.776%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:19
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.53%E -0.776%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:20
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.03%E -1.03%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 19:19
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.53%E -1.30%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -2.53%E -1.30%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -8.97%E -4.93%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:20
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -9.47%E -5.23%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 19:19
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 19:24
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.47%E -2.90%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:23
Parions Sport (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.97%E -3.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 19:19
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.03%E -2.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.47%E -2.90%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 19:25
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.03%E -2.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 15:19
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 17:09
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 18:59
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 17:09
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 18:59
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 19:00
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 20:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 15:15
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:24
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:19
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:09
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:09
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:09
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -5.53%E -2.92%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -2.97%E -1.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 19:18
ReBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.53%E -2.92%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:20
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -5.47%E -2.90%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 19:19
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:10
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:24
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 19:35
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 19:19
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -6.97%E -3.75%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 19:23
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.36%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.00%EV -7.97%E -4.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 17:24
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 17:09
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-18 15:13
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-18 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-18 15:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-03-19 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-03-19 19:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-03-19 19:19
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%1.8%2026-03-19 19:19
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 48.56%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.44%4.5%2026-03-19 19:19

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%11.3%2026-03-18 15:35