Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Barcelona Bàsquet v KK Crvena zvezda

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local)

Prediction 61.04%1.64fair odd
EV -0.500%
Edge -0.307%
Kelly -0.794%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%61.01%61.07%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.561.561.6367.57%64.14%64.10%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KK Crvena zvezda (Visit)

Prediction 38.96%2.57fair odd
EV +0.120%
Edge +0.047%
Kelly +0.076%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.99%38.93%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.422.5744.44%41.49%41.32%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local): 61.04%; KK Crvena zvezda (Visit): 38.96%. For KK Crvena zvezda (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.567. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.570, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.120%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV +0.120%E +0.047%K +0.076%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-26 16:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV +0.120%E +0.047%K +0.076%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-26 16:19
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.44%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.660%E -0.259%K -0.426%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 19:10
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 18:44
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.44%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 17:30
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 19:10
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.39%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 17:59
FanDuel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.39%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -4.17%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 18:45
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -4.17%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 17:30
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 17:30
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 17:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 17:29
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 17:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 19:10
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 19:10
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 19:10
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.72%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 17:30
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.72%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 17:30
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:55
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 17:29
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 18:29
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 17:30
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 17:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.44%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 19:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.21%E -4.75%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.06%E -3.42%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 17:33
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 19:50
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.21%E -4.75%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 17:30
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -0.500%E -0.307%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -10.40%E -4.52%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 19:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -0.500%E -0.307%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -10.40%E -4.52%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -0.500%E -0.307%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -10.40%E -4.52%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -0.500%E -0.307%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -10.40%E -4.52%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 19:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -0.500%E -0.307%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -10.40%E -4.52%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 19:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -0.500%E -0.307%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -10.40%E -4.52%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 19:55
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -0.500%E -0.307%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -11.18%E -4.90%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.11%E -0.685%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -12.35%E -5.49%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 19:55
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -1.72%E -1.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -12.35%E -5.49%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 19:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-27 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-27 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-27 19:45
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-03-27 19:50
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%3.4%2026-03-27 19:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.28%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%12.2%2026-03-27 19:10